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Sold today for $944.45: https://opskins.com/?loc=shop_view_item&item=47999148
Keys are 1.89 if we look at past few days average: https://opskins.com/?loc=shop_view_item&item=48032776
Which makes it 944,45/1.89=499.7 or just 500 Keys.
However, hat was sold by a scammer's alt: http://backpack.tf/item/1239157883 but since hat is 1:1, I guess it makes sense anyway. I have not found any other non-bulk recent "sales", because past owners kept going from 0 to 3000+ inventories in a day.
Key's common selling point is 1.85 ;p making it 511 rounds off to 510
NOTE : i have heard that sales thru sites cant be used (not sure) opskins might not be affected here prob
Not on OP Skins.
oh
Sales with scammers/scammer alts are invalid.
Massive drop and sold by a scammer alt, pretty sure this isnt valid for 2 or more reasons. Unless this was on OP skins for a long time for sale at this price, I highly doubt itll any bit be valid.
Rules state any trade done by scammers is invalid. Also the scammers is a paypal scammer, meaning they most likely will chargeback Shmevin so selling at 50% off is still pure profit for them. This sale isnt valid.
...Exactly, he was marked before the sale, thus if Shmevin did sell it to him, odds are he will be chargebacked. Meaning the scammer can sell the unusual for even 100 keys pure and still profit. Thus, this, suggestion, is, invalid.
Doesn't matter if it was a scammer or not, it sold in like 9 hours.
Im having trouble following your logic here. How does not accepting this suggestion promote trading with scammers?
Accepting such a suggestion would validate trading with scammer alts as legitimate trading, which it is not (or should not be). Scammers always have to undersell their hats since no one would be willing to take the risk of trading with them if there isnt any profit involved. Especially if the sale happened through a third-party site like OPskins (implying the seller tried to dump it as fast as possible, hence it sold so fast), theyre just getting rid of it for irl money whilst masking their identity (i.e buying from OPskins 'feels'/'seems' different than trading directly with the scammer; some people wont even know, which is why this method is popular among scammers).
Sales like these do not reflect the actual market and thus should not be used to price anything here.
Contrary to what the comments suggest, the fact that it was a scammer weighs more here than the fact that it sold fast: Quicksales are often deemed outliers because it is likely that the seller was willing to settle for less than full potential. Quicksales can also be lucky sales. Scammers cant take the 'risk' of not getting rid of their items fast (to avoid not being able to sell at all), so they're forced to sell at such a discount that anyone would pick it up. Such sales have a way higher likelihood to be a low outlier than regular quicksales have.
Opskins has VERY little traffic from tf2 users. This was clearly a QS if it sold that fast
It sold in less than ONE day by a scammer alt. This isn't valid in any way at all.
If it was sold by a scammer alt, i don't think the hat will show up on public radar for a pretty long time.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001106243#!/compare/1472428800/1472515200
Other sale is still in-date as well.
Please close this.
I was kinda surprised when I saw this 450 key drop that's insane knew it wasn't gonna drop that easily scammers n shit
This illustrates exactly why we don't count trades involving scammers as valid proof in a suggestion.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062425416#!/compare/1476316800/1476403200 - will be much higher than 500
And the previous sale at 950 also happened fairly recently. 500 is most likely an outlier here.