Suggestion: Haunted Ghosts Defiant Spartan at 36 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

Haunted Ghosts Defiant Spartan

Submitted Sat, 05 Nov 16 23:06:51 +0000 by ★ umer

3

~36 keys

ghosts

45 votes up

7 votes down

Advertisement

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was accepted Sun, 06 Nov 16 15:23:31 +0000 by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

I mainly needed this to update the Baiting a Thousand.

Sale 1. (02-11-2016)

Sold for 28 Keys pure.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020662618#!/compare/1478044800/1478217600

no outpost.

Sale 2. (04-11-2016)

Sold with a Strange Pro. KS Original for a Holy Grail Batting a Thousand + Strange Pro. KS Loch and Load.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196435487#!/compare/1478131200/1478217600

Using to price the Batting a Thousand.

Sale 3.

Sold for an Ether Trail Smokey Sombrero(43.5) + 0.5 Key of Sweets.

Smokey Sombrero is up to date, no mini required.

X = 43.5 + 0.5

X = 44

Capped at 36 Keys due to B/O in Outpost listing.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28490729

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175838507#!/compare/1475625600/1475712000

Sale 4.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075415934#!/compare/1477180800/1477267200

Bulk sale; not using. Duped.

Sale 5.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075415934#!/compare/1476748800/1476835200

Bulk sale; not using. Duped.

Sale 6.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059508730#!/compare/1475280000/1475539200

Bulk sale; not using. Duped.

Sale 7.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040475618#!/compare/1477785600/1477958400

Sold with an unpriced unusual for another unpriced unusual. Best used to price those 2 hats.

Sale 8. (29-10-2016) Duped sale

Sold for an Aussie Scattergun + 4 Keys.

X = 28 + 4 = 32 Keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028179754#!/compare/1477612800/1477785600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28561120 outpost doesn’t help

Duped sale supports range.

Sale 9. (22-10-2016) Duped sale.

Sold with 6 keys for a Kill-a-Watt Tough Stuff Muffs

Capped at 40-6 = 34 Keys due to outpost listing.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138584731#!/compare/1477094400/1477180800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28547375

Sale 10. Duped sale

Sold for Circling TF Otolaryngologist’s Mirror + Gfetti Grenadier’s Softcap (15) + 5 keys.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138584731#!/compare/1476489600/1476576000

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28494325

Bulky sale + outdated Mirror + plenty of sales already – not using.

Sale 11. Duped Sale

Sold for Stare from Beyond Doctor’s Sack.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070750997#!/compare/1473724800/1473897600

Best used to price the Sack.

Sales at 28, 36. Duped sales at 32, 34. Taking 28 as an outlier, and 36 flat, due to not using duped sales to drop the price.

honestly id do a range of 28-36 here. 28 isn't really that low and the duped sales at 32 and 34 support it. It could probably go either way tho, It would be interesting to get a mods opinion on this

Well, look at it this way:

A clean one can sell for 28 without any advertisment. Note that that's less advertisment than a trade post that was listed for one hour and then sold, resulting in sales that are often low, and excluded as outliers due to them being quicksold. Full pure sales that go without advertisment are just as likely to be outliers as quicksales are.

Including duped sales here isn't really fair either, as that would literally induce a drop based on duped sales. Seeing as the duped average here is 33; including 28 in the clean range would mean the clean average is lower than the duped average. That, plus the aforementioned are supporting indicators that 28 is going to be low here.

The way I see it, these sales indicate that dupes go for around 32-34, and 36 is reasonable to expect from a clean one