Sale 1:

Sold for Killstreak Aussie Force-a-Nature (12) + 4 keys + Scattergun skin (1)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28377545 - B/O of 19, seller kinda confirms sale

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001044586#!/compare/1472947200/1473033600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255365898#!/compare/1472947200/1473033600

Aussie FaN’s were still priced at 12 at the time of the sale, doubt killstreak ones would’ve sold for more, so sticking with 12

X = 17

Sale 2:

Sold for Smoking Bonk Helm (Mini at 14 below) + ~2 keys in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28557463 - Deleted B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019556015#!/compare/1477872000/1477958400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205821820#!/compare/1477353600/1477958400

X = 16

Sale 3:

Sold for Orbiting Fire Batter’s Helmet (Mini at 14 below) + Strange Spec. KS Festive Fan (1.5) + 4 ref

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1472860800/1472947200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097005551#!/compare/1472947200/1473206400

X = 16

Sale 4:

Sold for 16 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28599423 - B/O of 16

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1478736000/1478822400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065760133#!/compare/1478649600/1478822400

http://imgur.com/a/TDRbi

X = 16

Sale 5:

Sold with Strange Thermal Tracker (1.3) for Strange Pro. KS Festive Sniper Rifle (16)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113628945#!/compare/1473465600/1474761600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025225448#!/compare/1473465600/1474156800’

X = 15

Sale 6:

Sold for Strange Festive Killstreak Bat (8) + Strange Summer Shades (4 at the time) + 3 keys + parted Strange Grenade Launcher (<0.5)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019737545#!/compare/1475712000/1475798400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122831524#!/compare/1475712000/1475798400

X = 15

Sale 7:

Quicksold for 14 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935#!/compare/1476316800/1476403200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198324909668#!/compare/1476316800/1476403200

X = 14

Sale 8:

Sold for 14 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28480122 - No visible B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027694776#!/compare/1473638400/1473724800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178107526#!/compare/1473638400/1473724800

X = 14

Sale 9:

Sold for ~6 keys in skins/stranges + ~5 keys in taunts

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178107526#!/compare/1473724800/1473811200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135366503#!/compare/1473724800/1473811200

X = 11

Sale 10:

Quicksold for 11 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087373387#!/compare/1474502400/1474588800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063604090#!/compare/1474416000/1474588800

X = 11

Sale 11:

Sold for Logo Sober Stuntsman + 2 keys + 1 key in ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28507127 - No B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065324370#!/compare/1474761600/1474848000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197492182#!/compare/1474761600/1474848000

Couldn’t find a suitable mini on the Stuntsman. There was one for ~15 keys, however, there is a month-old seller at 12 keys, so 15 wouldn’t be a very valid price here. Stuntsman has a buyer at 10 keys, so we can assume the stuntsman is at least 11 keys, bringing this sale to at least 14, which fits in the range.

Sale 12:

Sold for ~21 keys in junk

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28434705 - Deleted B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019556015#!/compare/1472774400/1472860800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113628945#!/compare/1472774400/1472947200

Using this sale as support, I guess. Since the sale involved just junk, it’s best not to pull an actual price out of it.

Sale 13:

Sold with 5 keys in taunts + 1 key for Green Confetti Belgian Detective

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255365898#!/compare/1473811200/1473897600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034095893#!/compare/1473811200/1473897600

Should be used to update the Belgian

Sale 14:

Sold for Blizzardy Handyman’s Handle

No outpost, Pipe was re-listed for 10 though: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28526269

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078665606#!/compare/1475625600/1475712000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019737545#!/compare/1475625600/1475712000

Should probably be used to update the Handle. Might not even be usable there, though.

Sale 15:

Sold for Cloud 9 Bolted Birdcage

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253554923#!/compare/1476316800/1476403200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935#!/compare/1476316800/1476403200

Looks kinda low, Birdcage is 2 years outdated too. Would be better to update the Birdcage with this sale.

Sale 16:

Sold for Kill-a-Watt Titanium Tyrolean

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165914010#!/compare/1476316800/1476403200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019556015#!/compare/1476316800/1476403200

Would be better to use this to update the Tyrolean. Tyro is over a year outdated, and looks rather underpriced

Orbiting Fire Batter’s Mini:

Sold for 14 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1477612800/1477699200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197284382#!/compare/1477612800/1477699200

X = 14

Smoking Bonk Helm Mini:

Sold for Aussie Frontier Justice (10) + ~4 keys in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28557899 - B/O of 15

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112279227#!/compare/1477094400/1477180800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156375353#!/compare/1477094400/1477180800

X = 14

Sellers:

16 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/ZgDGurZ.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198065760133

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28600919

18 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/UoKky5C.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198324909668

Sales at:

17

16 (3x)

15 (2x)

14 (2x)

11 (2x)

11 is an outlier. Excluding 11

Going with 14-17