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How about I get the currency right for once ffs
"Oh the suggester is banned on outpost for manipulation"
Oh please, I asked a question which got interpreted as manipulation. Whatever.
New unusual, 3 sales.
Sales at 130, 155, and 175. 130 seems to be an outlier, so I'm countering to get a more condensed range
1) http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248548850#!/compare/1477872000/1478390400 - 130 keys
The compare is wrong, but the final value of this trade (130) is still the same.
I bought the vive with a vive http://m.imgur.com/5Gs5Lau , and I bought the vive with the pullover.
Honestly, shuffle and I had a huge convo about this, so I'm not too concerned about trying to add the proof. Just read here: http://backpack.tf/suggestion/581ff3c783de6b1f2e4c82be
Credits to Shuffle Spy for whatever he needs so that I'm not stealing the proof
2) Sold + 10 Keys for a Bonzo the All-Gnawing Spook Specs (186 Keys)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214020751#!/compare/1477699200/1477785600
Credits to Beaser | S>2 Unusuals for the Sale, not the Mini.
186 - 10 = 176 Keys
Rounding to 175
Specs Mini:
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/581ff396c44045031e45961f - 186 Keys
3) http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061108999#!/compare/1478044800/1478390400 - 155
Credits to Blaze for the sale
Mini for Slick:
Sold + Peace chullo for a Bonzo Dappers: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073872845#!/compare/1478390400/1478476800 credits to Lila for finding this.
The Dappers is in date, but the chullo and slick aren't. Credits to shuffle again for a mini on the chullo
Mini for chullo: http://backpack.tf/suggestion/582a3b2e83de6b649312648b
260 - 105 = 155
There are now 2 sellers ln backpack asking for less than 100, you should close and wait for stability
There are 4 sellers now for 155 or less, so i'm pretty sure that the outlier is 175, not 130.
Meh. Sales are sales, so I'll keep this up just a little longer to see what else happens.
Although I will point out that the sellers under 155 are selling for that because when Shuffle made the first suggestion, the low end was 130, causing people to sell around that in order to get pure. The fact that Shuffle closed his suggestion just makes me think that I must be on the right track.
You are contradicting yourself then, since you are leaving one sale out with no reason.
And considering that there are two sellers now for 100 keys (one in classies, one here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28599503 ), i really doubt that this suggestion or the other one will pass.
If you're taking about me leaving out the 130, I clearly stated that within the 3 current sales that this hat has, it is most likely the outlier. Oh, people may be selling around 100-ish, but like I said above, it's because the old suggestion had a low end of 130.
Stating that a sale is most likely an outlier for no particular reason, doesn't make said sale an outlier. Real proof, on the other hand, does.
Three sellers at or below 130 point to that sale being valid, even more valid than 175 or 155. If people are selling it for less than 155, it's because it's not worth more than 155. That's the main point here.
my point is that within the 3, solid, sales of this hat right now, which is 130, 155, and 175, 130 SEEMS to be the outlier here. Anyway, I'm not closing my suggestion. If the hat is really not worth more than 155, and if 130 was a much better low end, then why did Shuffle close his suggestion.
You clearly don't understand what an outlier is, and the fact that you own the hat doesn't help either.
Anyways, my points are there, take them as you will.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/267865258
2 people with b/o around 150/155, just supports the lower end of the range (155) here. I guess?
No, that supports that sales above that price are to high. So your suggestion is pretty surely going to be too high.
great proofs,vote up :p
:3 thanks
The 2 sellers under 100 are over a week old at this point. This is clearly showing that this is too high.
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/583f7878c440457c8d7d7b60 See my comment here. The sales here are all over the place; way too discrepant to price this hat right now. Sellers for lower than this for a while make it likely that this suggestion is too high.
The real value here is probably somewhere inbetween these two suggestions.
Closing this up as well.