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Using SCM as no recent sales that I can find
Current SCM key price: £1.86
Sales
https://gyazo.com/02b1fe1bca402726f542b5858ec7520b
£39.33 (34.20) Min: 18.4 keys
£39.82 (34.62)
£41.70 (36.26) Max: 22.4 keys
£25.91(22.53)£41.06 (35.70)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28439554 - seller @ 24 for 2 months
Taking 18.4-22.4
buyer @ 23k
https://gyazo.com/ea97af9122840cf5d5da24af9e714e62
http://backpack.tf/u/76561198011321852
he's gone.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085170863#!/compare/1477785600/1477872000 - sale at 17
It went to a buyer... but sellers at 23 aren't selling and that's the only sale I can find. Honestly think 17 flat might even be better, but I'll accept the conservative drop.