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Starstorm Insomnia Cranial Carachadon
Le resuggest
Selling:
http://imgur.com/a/yA6i6
3 @ 15
1 @ 22
1 @ 25
etc.
Sale 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998374145#!/compare/1478995200/1479081600
Sold for a Green Confetti Trophy Belt (25, indate)
X = 25
Sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295354861#!/compare/1477785600/1478563200
40 keys in unusuals. Hype at its finest
Sale 3:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150982973#!/compare/1478217600/1479340800
Sold for a Max’s Severed Head (18)
X = 18
Sale 4:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071493101#!/compare/1478649600/1478736000
Sold for a Infernal Smoke Battin' a Thousand
Should use for that
Sale 5:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198213573067#!/compare/1477612800/1478044800
lol. Sale 2 doesn't even come close to this xD
Sale 6:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072763995#!/compare/1479513600/1479600000
http://imgur.com/a/LmLgi
Sold with 3 keys, Black Paint (1) and a Rust Flamethrower (3 ref) for a TF Logo Handyman’s Handle (11, indate) and a Aces High Cadaver's Cranium (10, see mini below)
11 + 10 - 3 - 1 = 17
X = 17
Aces Cranium Mini:
http://imgur.com/a/zkLue
Unsold 1 month @ 10, taking 10
X = 10
Sales at:
25
40
18
240
17
Excluding anything over 25 due to the multitude of sellers for less. Including 15 in the range due to the sellers (get rekt undercutters you made you unusual worth less xD)
Final Price: 15 - 18 keys
I bought 2 off scm for pure funds, sellers receiving about $55.60 CDN (keys @ $3.05-3.10 on market = 18 keys) as quick as they came up http://imgur.com/a/o7Fln . I added ngnear and others offering to buy theirs off scm for this and they declined wanting more in game. including 15 in the range is kinda dumb imo even if they've dropped their b/o's
Interesting point. Theres another currently selling on the scm for ~17 as well. Of course ingame sales > scm sales, however that is definitely worth considering. How long ago did you buy them?
6 days ago and 8 days ago roughly. just gave the one to my son about 2 hours ago, but both were visable in my backpack till today (last page)
eh those are a bit outdated considering how fast the market it shifiting. I'm probably gonna leave this suggestion up and either wait for a mod's imput or for the sellers @ ~15 to age a bit more. Thanks for the proof tho!
lol so I quickbought a 3rd one of these and put it on scm, it was bought within an hour of me putting it up. buyer paid a lil over 17.5 keys and I got ~15.5 keys after tax http://imgur.com/a/0WcHD (keys currently $3.07 CDN) ... within an hour :P further proof 15 keys is a quicksell no matter which way you slice it
Interesting. However, not only have the sellers @ 15 not sold but there is another young seller at 15. I'm not gonna close this unless a mod says because in game sales usually trump scm.
you don't need to include 15 in range, 2 young sellers can't drop price
NGNear has consistently been relisting to always be cheapest on the market for weeks now. Yesterday he was at 15 flat, day before that he was a bit higher. There not actually young.
You need proofs
Now he is only listed it couple hours ago = young
"The trade must have a reasonable time to mature (and must be reasonably bumped). What is reasonable varies from hat to hat. A good rule of thumb is to go by roughly 25 keys per week. So a trade for a hat <25 keys in value must be up for at least a week"
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-guide-for-unusual-price-suggestions/
Unfortunately I don't have proof of this, however anyone watching the market would know that this is the case. The reason I am erring on the side of including it in the range is because it will likely be more accurate as time progresses as more and more come on the market and undercut each other. Unless a mod says otherwise I think this should be fine
Edit: The time periods you mentioned shouldn't really apply to new stuff where the market moves very fast.
Did you sold yours for 17 keys in items in 1 day? You quicksold it yesterday for 17 keys and still think, that 15 is necessary here.
Ngnear always change his b/o for quick pure. 2 weeks ago I had a buy order on these sharks, I paid 14 for each, close enough.
Can it counter his 2 weeks post without b/os?
Time is the most overrated part rule to unusual suggesting. I went on a trade server, offering in to countless people before I sold mine, eventually for ~17 in items. Yes I had it for a day, but I spent time trying to offer it because I knew I wouldn't get a single offer, let alone pure, regardless of whether my B/O was 15 or 150.
2 weeks ago is 100% irrelevant at this point due to market shifts and saturation
Either way it shows he cant even sell for his 'quick pure' amounts so even more reason to include them in the range as bp.tf prices are support to be pure prices.
Yes, I told about 2 weeks to counter his "old" sell order. I got some new items, chicken, shark and engie hat (don't remember name lol) and I sold them each in 1-2 days without trade server, just outpost and normal b/o (not link as ngnear), I sold them for really good offer too.
I just can't understand: you sold it in 1 (!) day for 17 and including 15 in range due 1 day unsold
3 sales at 18, 2 pure and 1 max's all very quick and a 17 key sale in 1 day as well... make the sales slightly higher for items look more valid imo. 2 people quickselling for less shouldn't even be considered yet so this is either too fast to suggest or more data from further sales needs to be collected
Hence why I will be keeping this open to wait for more sales/for the sellers at 15 to sell
NGNear has been trying to sell for at least 2 weeks here:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28589447
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198213573067#!/compare/1477612800/1478044800
~ 240
:^)
#5... I really feel bad for the buyer
Ngnear still selling them, upvote!
Now I think that 18 too high haha