Suggestion: Aces High Spook Specs at 23–32 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~24 keys

aces

107 votes up

9 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Thu, 08 Dec 16 21:05:18 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Usable Sale:

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072137331#!/compare/1478995200/1479081600 - buyer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1478908800/1478995200 - seller

https://backpack.tf/item/4913682330 - sold in 1 day

Sold for 26 keys pure

= 26 keys/Quicksell

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180646010#!/compare/1476835200/1477180800 - buyer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108148076#!/compare/1477008000/1477180800 - seller

Sold for 30 keys pure

= 30 keys

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211445756#!/compare/1473120000/1473206400 - seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211445756?time=1473206400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135230473#!/compare/1473206400/1473465600 - buyer

Sold for 32 keys pure

= 32 keys

Sale #4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211445756#!/compare/1472860800/1472947200 - buyer

Sold for 23 keys pure

B/O: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28455874 - sold in 5 days

= 23 keys

Sale #5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093575907#!/compare/1475971200/1476057600 - seller

Sold for a Cloud 9 Sergeant's Drill Hat (29 keys, open suggestion)

= 29 keys

Unusable Sales

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180646010#!/compare/1478390400/1478736000 - seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1478649600/1478736000 - buyer

= Bulk

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122940354#!/compare/1476489600/1478822400 - seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1478736000/1478822400 - buyer

= ???

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027694776#!/compare/1472256000/1472342400 - buyer

= ???

23 and 32 sales are really old. 3 month old sales are okay on hats that rare sell. But when there are so many pure sales available, sales under 2 months should be used. I think a tighter 26-30 or even 29-30 would be better

I'm honestly confused at this point, a while ago Foamy told me to consider all sales that are up to 3 months old unless there are a lot of comparable values (like ~10), this isn't the case here, only 4 (5 if you count the quicksell) comparable values are here yet it'd be better to exclude the older sales?

Well, there's no rule about how many sales you need in two months to disregard sales more than 2 months old. And I'm not really saying that sales >2 months should be disregarded. Having those data points here is useful in showing general value over time.

What I'm saying is that you have recent sales at 26, 29, and 30. 26 went fast. You have a pair of old sales at 23 and 32. The buyer at 23 pure quickly resold for 32 pure in a few days. I think 23 for the low end is low here. In this case, I think it makes sense to use the newer pure sales to tighten the range a bit.