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Sale 1. (07-10-2016)
Bulk sale.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123494955#!/compare/1475798400/1475884800
Sale 2. (08-10-2016)
Sold with 1 Key + 1 key of sweets for a Blizzardy Storm Conquistador.
X + 2 = 16
X = 14 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058046601#!/compare/1475884800/1475971200
Sale 3. (21-10-2016)
Sold with 1 Key for a Stormy Storm Demoman’s Fro.
X + 1 = 15.5
X = 14.5 (rounding up to 15 Keys)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058046601#!/compare/1477008000/1477094400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28531990
Sale 4. (28-10-2016)
Sold for an Orbiting Fire Gentleman’s Gatsby.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064309988#!/compare/1477699200/1477785600
no outpost.
Using to price the Gatsby.
Sale 5. (19-11-2016)
Sold with 2 Keys + <0.75 Keys of sweets for a Miami Nights Voodoo JuJu (Slight Return)(15.5).
X + 2 + <.75 Keys = 15.5
X = 13 Keys due to if the sweets were 0.01 keys, it would be 13.49, rounding to 13, and if 0.75, it would be 12.75, rounding to 13.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064309988#!/compare/1479513600/1479600000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28581300
Sales at 13, 14 and 15 Keys. Therefore taking the range as 13-15 Keys.
Sold mine for 15 keys on the day I got it:
http://imgur.com/a/vWuqy
Also, here's a screenshot of sale 5
http://imgur.com/a/NS6y4
Coolio, fits in the range.