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RIP my head while trying to figure this stuff out. Shoutout to Fish for helping me though.
Sale #1
Sold for Blizzardy Storm Prancer's Pride
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025657905#!/compare/1478476800/1478563200
Taking 15k
Mini for Prancer's
Classies:
https://gyazo.com/ef00171345082ee4511036efc6b81c25
Item Histories:
http://backpack.tf/item/527246034
http://backpack.tf/item/3022881939
Final Price: 15k
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/583d36a383de6b5e1d201fd1
So the Prancer was priced using unsolds.
But there's currently a classifieds listing, 6 days unsold at 13 keys https://gyazo.com/2db9def1926d59616719ac441ad5580c
All of that puts this in a kinda weird limbo. Technically the Prancer was a B/O drop and so this should but fine, but then again the Prancer may need to go lower still, and ergo this would as well.
A few more sales happened, but all are bulk except 1:
Sold for TaW heralds
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182213262#!/compare/1481760000/1481846400
Heralds is unpriced. Quickly glanced over it and found a sale for a DBD nano (~22) here
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28675258
may be worth checking some other sales on the heralds to see if that would be an outlier or not, but if it ends up around 22, I guess it'd be best to wait for more sales here, especially seeing how the prancer is likely still on the high side, meaning you'd have two sales too far apart.