Price Suggestion
~24 keys
i.smoke
Unusual Taunt: The Box Trot Infernal Smoke
50 votes up
2 votes down
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Sale 1:

Sold for Purple Energy Familiar Fez (45.5)+ Infernal Smoke Most Wanted (Mini at 26 below)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28618628 - No visible B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1479686400/1479772800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064534997#!/compare/1479686400/1479772800


X = 72


Sale 2:

Sold for Aces High Casemaker (Outdated) + Purple Confetti Le Party Phantom (36.5) + 1 key


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28602864 - B/O of 60

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039908097#!/compare/1479081600/1479254400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062751030#!/compare/1478995200/1479254400


Should easily cap at the B/O

X = 60 (Capped by B/O)


Sale 3:

Sold for Duped Burning Industrial Festivizer (Mini at 58 below)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28616568 - B/O of 60

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037947478#!/compare/1479513600/1479600000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026194410#!/compare/1479513600/1479600000


X = 58


Sale 4:

Sold for Stormy Well-Rounded Rifleman (Mini at 57.5 below)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28588943 - Deleted B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066065032#!/compare/1479254400/1479340800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087269909#!/compare/1479254400/1479340800


X = 58


Sale 5:

Sold for Pro. KS Aussie Eyelander (33)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28568659 - B/O of 300

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093511517#!/compare/1477785600/1477872000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045176442#!/compare/1477785600/1477872000


X = 33


Sale 6:

Sold for Hot Minimal Wear Flower Power Scattergun


Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198318138402#!/compare/1480377600/1480464000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125329673#!/compare/1480377600/1480464000


Can be used to price the scattergun


Sale 7:

Sold with Infernal Smoke Bad Pipes for Aussie Scattergun


Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143470931#!/compare/1479513600/1479600000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1479427200/1479513600


This sale would probably end up being close to 0


Sellers:

54 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28622138 - 1 week, assuming poorly bumped, due to only 20 views at the time of suggesting

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198064534997


75 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28623483

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198062751030


80 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/tLki45G.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198027378787

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28617328 - 1 week


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28607726

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198078207818


Offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28604169

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198152648165


Duped Burning Festivizer Mini:

Sold for Max’s (23 at the time) + Spec. KS Strange Pan (7) + Pro. KS Gold Botkiller Stickybomb Launcher MK.II (10) + Strange Pro. KS Grenade Launcher (7) + Strange Mann of the Seven Sees (2 at the time) + 11 keys


Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121778217#!/compare/1473984000/1474070400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101092551#!/compare/1473984000/1474070400


X = 60


Current price is in-date, at 56-60. Since the dupe sets the high end here, it would be fair to use a clean one for the low-end.


Going with 56-60 (58) for the Duped Burning Industrial Festivizer


Infernal Smoke Most Wanted Mini:

Sold for 25 keys + 2 Spec. KS Genuine Ham Shanks (1)


Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045773828#!/compare/1479772800/1479859200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174748513#!/compare/1479600000/1479859200


X = 26


Sales at:

33

58 (2x)

60

72


33 is low, and 72 is high. Excluding them.

Going with 58-60

    1. http://prntscr.com/ddhmc6

    1. http://prntscr.com/ddhmd7

    currently keys are $2.25


    1. 39 - 46 keys

    2. 40 - 47 keys


    edit: 54 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28622138 is not poorly bumped. Views are similar to http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28588943 and http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28602864 Can unusuals be considered poorly bumped since they have little competition on outpost?

      Hmm, 40-60 seems like a rather large range, but i'll see what others say.


      Infernal Flames got priced at 85-120, even with the seller at $170 (64-76) on the market

        40-60 doesn't really look wide imo.


        Infernal Smoke was seen as one of the worst effects while Infernal Flames was seen as one of the best effects (don't ask me why) on a poll I made a while ago on the forums, can't find it though so can't provide proof, this being lower seems reasonable to me though.

          Considering there are three sales at the 58-60 range, we would be setting a low-end 18 keys lower than the most common trading point, and basing the low end off of SCM sellers at that. I don't ever recall anyone setting the Iow-end with SCM sellers before, either. You'd also have to take into consideration how long the SCM sellers have had their listing up for. I could only identify one of the sellers, and it looks like he's had his listed anywhere beteen 1 to 6 days, which is pretty young:

          http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064534997#!/compare/1479945600/1480464000


          I'm not sure if you're just bringing up random facts with your poll, or if you're trying to support your opinion on setting the low-end to 40, but it doesn't change a thing here.

            Well, if there's a seller at that much lower it has to be considered, of course we should keep an eye on it and see how long it lasts.


            I brought up the poll since it sounded like you were suprised by the fact that Smoke is that much lower than Flames.

            Infernal smoke is the most noticeable effect. Flames is popular just because of the color. I've heard hellish inferno looks better on moving taunts. In the end, I think all three of those effects are pretty similar. Value currently is not due to the effect but rather how many are on the market. I think just spectral swirl will settle a bit lower than the other three.