Sale 1:

Sold for 42 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28474823 - No visible B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061376237#!/compare/1474848000/1474934400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079881603#!/compare/1474934400/1475020800

X = 42

Sale 2:

Sold for Flies Exquisite Rack (36.5) + 5 keys + <1 key in items

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041902665#!/compare/1475625600/1475712000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309279405#!/compare/1475625600/1475712000

X = 42

Sale 3:

Sold for 35 keys + ~4 keys in items

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175249965#!/compare/1480377600/1480464000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069380992#!/compare/1480204800/1480464000

X = 39

Sale 4:

Sold for Spec. KS Aussie Medigun (26) + Killstreak Aussie Frontier Justice (10) + 3 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28612018 - B/O of 40

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184388927#!/compare/1479340800/1479427200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058928752#!/compare/1479254400/1479427200

X = 39

Sale 5:

Sold for 38 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043601405#!/compare/1477958400/1478304000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161479472#!/compare/1477958400/1478131200

X = 38

Sale 6:

Quicksold for 30 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28645444 - B/O of 30

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970706711#!/compare/1473552000/1480896000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064247953#!/compare/1480809600/1480896000

X = 30

Sale 7:

Sold for Steaming Toque + Stormy Master’s Yellow Belt + 6 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28619959 - B/O of 42

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115721685#!/compare/1480723200/1480809600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136551541#!/compare/1480723200/1480809600

Both hats are outdated, but this should easily cap at the B/O, or at least fit in the range.

Sale 8:

Sold with ~5 keys in items for Infernal Flames Party Trick

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087853188#!/compare/1478822400/1478908800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320991962#!/compare/1478822400/1478908800

Should be used to price the Party Trick

Sale 9:

Sold for Pro. KS Aussie Black Box (20)+ Infernal Flames Most Wanted

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320991962#!/compare/1478908800/1478995200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089224738#!/compare/1478908800/1478995200

Might exclude this sale, the taunt could probably be around 30 keys, which would be an outlier here.

Sale 10:

Sold with ~2 keys in items for Smoking Killer Exclusive

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089224738#!/compare/1478995200/1479254400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184388927#!/compare/1479168000/1479254400

Should be used to update the KE

Sale 11:

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Tossle + ~1 key in items

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189534714#!/compare/1478736000/1478908800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116710598#!/compare/1478908800/1479168000

Would prefer to have the Tossle updated with this sale, this is the 3rd time I’ve run into it while working on a suggestion, it would be better to finally have it updated.

Sellers:

35 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/5adCyFx.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198064247953

38 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/bqQba49.png - 9 days, duped

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28630758

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198108148076

39 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/6KT7g0P.png - 1 day

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198045692488

40 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/8zV6Rq6.png - 2 months

http://backpack.tf/u/76561197986206421

42 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/msSfEgl.png - 1 month

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28583555

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198019556015

http://i.imgur.com/qykyCR4.png

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28645308

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198023218196

45 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/cOV7ztg.png - 7 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28629688

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198023051867

47 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/nYmjYIN.png

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28585736 - 1 month, probably lowered recently, duped

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198009950989

48 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/trh7Fm2.png

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28514052 - 2 months

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198063258426

50 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/kO4wxAt.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198202791015

Offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28641621

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198058928752

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27637012 - 11 months

Sales at:

30

38

39 (2x)

42 (2x)

30 quicksold, excluding 30

Going with 38-42