Thermatology

Sale 1:

Sold for Pro. KS Aussie Sniper Rifle (32) + Cloud 9 Panama + Spec. KS Blood Botkiller Sniper Rifle (3)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28636276 - B/O of 50

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1480723200/1480809600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198213829632#!/compare/1480809600/1480896000

Would most likely cap at the B/O, the panama would have to be less than 15 keys for this sale’s value to change.

X = 50 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold for Amaranthine Fukaamigasa (Mini at 50 below)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152778610#!/compare/1479427200/1479600000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1479513600/1479600000

X = 50

Sale 3:

Sold for 38 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1478822400/1478908800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136551541#!/compare/1478822400/1478908800

X = 38

Sale 4:

Sold for Orbiting Fire Gutenkutteharen + 1 key

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186668287#!/compare/1477785600/1478304000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078078891#!/compare/1478044800/1478131200

Based on the sales available on the Gutenkutteharen, this will most likely end up at or near what buyers would pay for the Topi. Excluding this sale.

Sellers:

50 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/bJ2F6RO.png - 24 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198043936328

http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/268263027

Sales at:

38

50 (2x)

Two sales at 50 make the sale at 38 look like an outlier. On top of that, the sale at 38 sold without outpost advertisement (because the user is banned). Going to exclude 38

Going with 50 flat