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Sale #1
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025865591#!/compare/1479340800/1480291200
SCM?
Sale #2
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982826963#!/compare/1480896000/1480982400
Low
Sale #3
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198603251#!/compare/1478995200/1479686400
SCM?
Sale #4
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008113369#!/compare/1478649600/1478736000
Sold for Sunbeams Falkirk (385) + KaW Robo Tower (24.5)
= ~410 - high
Sale #5
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087269909#!/compare/1480032000/1480118400
Sold for Tesla Coil BoA (280)
Sale #6
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058999931#!/compare/1480982400/1481068800
Cash?
Sale #7
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065402907#!/compare/1479772800/1479859200
101 pure + 85 keys in australiums + MW Isotope Night Terror (~95)
= ~280
Sale #8
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011160583#!/compare/1478304000/1478390400
SCM?
Sale #9
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152270625#!/compare/1479686400/1479945600
SCM?
Sale #10
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129254323#!/compare/1480550400/1480636800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085269574#!/compare/1480550400/1480636800
Sold with Mallard DCO (70) + Stormy 13th Mmmph (75) for Duped Scorching Reggae (225) + Sunbeams Marauder (135)
= 215
Minis
Tesla BoA
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025560677#!/compare/1480377600/1480636800
Sold for Disco Prehistoric + DBD Mann of Reason = 279
Isotope Night Terror
No sales so taking a rough estimate
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28556987 - seller @ 120 for a month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28513558 - FT Seller @ 70, potential offers around that
Taking a middle value of ~90/100 keys
Mallard DCO
https://gyazo.com/daf02638d74c776f85d4cdc3f4017261 70 key seller
13th Mmmph
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085269574#!/compare/1480636800/1480723200
Sodl with Stormy Storm Bicorne (25) for 72 Skullcracker (120)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28640425 - 75 key B/O
Scorch Reggae
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129254323#!/compare/1480550400/1480636800
Sold for Ghosts TC – 225
Beams Marauder
No usable minis, using current price as seems pretty stable
Taking 215-280 keys
http://prntscr.com/dhr8cq
170 - 145
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/582ce81b83de6b14dc696b62 - were sellers at 60-80 apparently in my suggestion and this got accepted:
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5838edff8667471d0743cb80
so i don't know how valid this is
People seem to be buying or creating these and then sticking them on SCM for the cheapest possible price for quick profit, I'm not sure how accurate SCM is at the moment.
Tough call on some of these. Willing to be a bit lenient even if there are sellers for less as long as they are within the range. If there are multiple sellers below the range, going to close it.
Bob is right that these get put on SCM fairly regularly. But I don't think it's appropriate to count all sales above 200 as outliers based on that alone. The reality is that steam currency is more valuable over Christmas (crate sale, paint sale, etc.). So I wouldn't say a 400 scm sale is necessary equal to 170 keys. Pretty easy to convert 400 on SCM to over 200 keys over Christmas.
Anyways, onto the suggestion itself.
http://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Brotherhood%20of%20Arms&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=108
Not 280. Probably around the low end here.
Still another 280 sale in mostly pure, so I'm willing to accept.