Dead Presidents Well-Rounded Rifleman

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126514483#!/compare/1480723200/1481328000

Sold for a Vivid Plasma Detective Noir (~27)

low

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198303326725#!/compare/1480809600/1480896000

Better used for the GFetti Peak

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198303326725#!/compare/1481328000/1481414400

Now this is what you call overpay bois. Not using, super low

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043075767#!/compare/1481414400/1481500800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043075767?time=1481500800 - Sort by time

Sold for a Blizzardy Storm YWNM + OF Tossle + 10 Machina thingy

Gonna be high (~55). No outpost B/O, but the b/o would likely be much less. Given common B/Os of 40 like this one http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28570036 (unsold 1 month) Im gonna cap this at 40

X = 40

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119605783#!/compare/1481673600/1481760000

Sold for a Vivid Plasma Vintage Merriweather (~31)

low

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055945447#!/compare/1480723200/1480809600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28637380 - B/O of 40

Sold for a Dead Presidents Noble (18, see mini below) + Aces Fed-Fightin’ (21, indate)

18 + 21 = 39

X = 40 (rounded)

Dead Presidents Noble Mini:

http://imgur.com/a/Wn0hA

Unsold 2 weeks @ 18, taking 18

X = 18

Sales at:

~28

40

~32

40

We have two really low sales and two sales that are around B/O caps. Excluding the low sales as they are just too low and aproaching what scrap.tf would pay in pure as a quicksell. Going with 40 flat for the refresh

Final Price: 40 keys