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Frostbite Bombing Run
Counter. Criteria for pricing with dupes is met.
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164036774#!/compare/1473984000/1474070400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164036774?time=1474070400 - Sort by time
Sold for a Searing Plasma Flipped Trilby (22, indate) + 4 keys sweets
22 + 4 = 26
X = 26
Sale 2:
http://imgur.com/a/WHvQ0
http://imgur.com/a/6yzpB
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064881445#!/compare/1474070400/1474156800
https://backpack.tf/item/561995732 - Item in question.
Sold with ~2 keys sweets for a duped Eerie Orbiting Fire Connoisseur's Cap (34, indate)
34 - 2 = 32
X = 32
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1478217600/1478304000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538?time=1478304000 - Sort by time
http://imgur.com/a/zJFms
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28583729 - B/O of 32
Sold for a Starstorm Insomnia Valley Forge (32, open suggestion)+ ~6 keys sweets
X = 32 (capped by B/O)
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128385353#!/compare/1478736000/1478822400
Bulk for Arcana Soviet Gentleman. Should be used for it.
Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1480550400/1480636800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160?time=1480636800 - Sort by time
Sold for a duped Burning Flames Stately Steel Toe (32, see mini below) + RPS (<.5)
X = 32
Sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060488196#!/compare/1480464000/1480636800
http://imgur.com/a/mNWYs
Sold for a Purple Energy Bonk Helm
Duped Burning Toe Mini:
Only recent tracable sale I could find was countered by the generous buy orders. Imo this probably needs a raise, so taking current price for the duped seems fine. Its only 5 months outdated as well.
X = 32
Purple Energy Bonk Helm Mini:
http://imgur.com/a/xMy46
Month unsold @ 45, taking 45.
Sales at:
26
32
32
45
Excluding 45 as it is obviously much higher than the other sales. Excluding 26 as there are two solid sales at 32, and the 26 sale involves sweets of questionable value, which evaluated differently would make that sale even lower. With 2 sales at 32, 32 flat seems better anyways.
If anyone thinks this is too low, I owned this hat for a month and only got a couple of offers. I lowered by B/O from 40 initially all the way down to 32 before I finally sold it. (check my op trades, I probably relisted it like 10 times) Anything higher wouldn’t make sense.
Final Price: 32 keys