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Sale 1
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086605050#!/compare/1480550400/1480636800
CM YWN+ Time Warp C.Billy + Vivid Wraith + DP Sensei + Vivid Elfin + Blizz Razor Cut + Starstorm Vive + C9 Bedoiun== FOD Pool Party
110 + 25 + 120 + 21 + 31 + 45 + 87.5 + X= 950
X=500
*Histories on the keys dont match. not part of deal.
Sale 2
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208062409#!/compare/1479254400/1479340800
420 + 32 + 21 + 22.5= 495
Rounding to 500
Sale 3
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054862332#!/compare/1480550400/1480809600
Elfin [30] + Razor [45] + Bedouin [X] = Eerie TC[ 205] + Scorching Samurye [205] + C9 Dread [165] + 15 White Paints
X=510
Rounding to flat 500
Mini
Sale 1:
Duped Cloudy Your Worst Nightmare-110
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060828964#!/compare/1478476800/1478649600
YWN + Exe [Sellers at 200]= Harvest bomber [310]
YWN=110
Seller for Clean at 110 on bp.tf also supports this
Vivid Wraith [130]
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060727271#!/compare/1474070400/1474243200
O.F Hazmat = Wraith + 70 Pure
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050062763#!/compare/1479254400/1479340800
This dupe sale also represents the same value. the trilby wasnt part of the deal
Starstorm Vive [87.5]
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/584bf60fe33877334a319b45
You need minis for Razor, Duped Samur Eye, Team Cap, Hood, Elfin Deal, Kabuto, Sensei, Pool Party. They all very outdated and has sellers for bellow current price
Seeing theres a quickbuyer on bp.tf for the razor at 35 keys im keeping that out,
Kabuto, Sensei and Elfin are too small to make any significant difference if they arent perfectly accurate
the TC is
Scorching Samurye
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080242209#!/compare/1480982400/1481068800
People are asking for 65+ on that modest, and the attendant is priced at 175, so im going to take this at 205, i doubt the PC is going to drop the Samurye lower than that anyways
Heres a sale on the Eerie TC
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086990597#!/compare/1481760000/1482105600
TC + Conga = CM Menco
Seeing that there are sellers for the conga in the 120, and CM menco has a seller at 350...im assuming the TC to be fine as well
Although using this sale might actually mean that the Sale was actually over 110 Keys.
Well if I were you I would just exclude the pool sale entirely and use the other two sales to then, in theory (if you find sufficient minis) make a range of 500-510
Flamboyant has a seller at 359. 359-170(suggested price for conga 120 is a qs surely) = TC price
Proper minis are still needed for the hats in sale 3. They add up. The Pool Party in sale 2 is probably high here as well, since it hasn't been updated since the whole unusualifier fiasco. A range of 500-510 is ridiculous, but sale 2 will most likely be lower, and sale 1 will most likely end up higher due to the FoD Pool Party dropping (arguably, it should even be used for the pool party itself... http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5867d014c4404566663b7372 )
Either way, 500 flat is not the right range here. Feel free to re-suggest with proper values for the pool party (and actual minis for everything significant) at the very, very least.