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Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135869440#!/compare/1481932800/1482019200
1:1 With a Miami Snaggle (17)
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164068305#!/compare/1480809600/1481328000
Sold with 1 key for a Starstorm Slumber Wing Mann (14)
14 - 1 = 13
Mini:
http://imgur.com/a/Gqgpv - Several sellers @ 14
18 is too high
Buyer at 14 keys + 13 ref
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1zOs-0OfVjLsNYAmMa8_tvi2tA9Rrnok7nEUqDOQuls0/edit#gid=0
He probably will. Just wanted to point that out.
http://imgur.com/a/eoiff - He would pay 10 keys and 15 ref
As said before, I would not force drops based on that wingman. Id make this 17 flat and use the wing as supportive for the drop.
Youre pretty much buyout-dropping hats based on few day old sellers on another hat thats currently in-date. These sales are rather an indication that the wingmans need ranges. Note that there are more than 100 per effect in existence, and the amount of sales/sellers required to properly determine a value should be on par with that amount. a few sellers do not mean that none of those 100 hats cant sell for more.
I've seen a couple of those where those hats induce unrealistic low ends. Telling rubi to lower his price does not mean he wouldnt have paid that much; using him and his prices as such to prove your point is a sophism.