Sale 1:

Sold for Miami Nights Provocateur (19.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28637057 - No B/O here

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1480809600/1480896000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140559064#!/compare/1480809600/1480896000

X = 20

Sale 2: (Dupe)

Sold for Miami Nights Industrial Festivizer + ~4 keys in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28675646 - B/O of 19

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129088942#!/compare/1482624000/1482710400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080378687#!/compare/1482537600/1482710400

Buyers for 14 keys on the Festivizer. Should cap at the B/O

X = 19 (capped by B/O)

Sale 3:

Sold for Cloud 9 Provocateur (16.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28421169 - B/O of 17

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125884909#!/compare/1478649600/1478736000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328842462#!/compare/1478649600/1478736000

X = 17

Sale 4: (Dupe)

Sold for 16 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28552831 - B/O of 16

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1477008000/1477094400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304383952#!/compare/1477094400/1477180800

X = 16

Sale 5: (Dupe)

Sold for 15 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304383952#!/compare/1477785600/1477872000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129088942#!/compare/1477785600/1477872000

X = 15

Sale 6:

Sold for Searing Elfin Deal + ~1.5 keys in items

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140559064#!/compare/1480809600/1480896000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135140709#!/compare/1480809600/1480896000

Couldn’t find any usable sales on the Elfin. Probably better to update the Elfin with this sale instead.

Sellers:

15 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/hMdCaGq.png - young, duped

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198267189538

17 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/JXne0Pv.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198266996665

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28692352 - young

http://i.imgur.com/vaLRvtF.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198338556449

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28690895 - 1 day

18 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/TxT5ykH.png - 1 month

19 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28601043 - 1 month

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198204709704

Sales at:

15 (dupe)

16 (dupe)

17

19 (dupe)

20

Going to exclude 15 and 16, as they are dupes.

Going with 17-20.