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Sale #1
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016583076#!/compare/1479340800/1479427200
30 Disco Beat Down Chieftain's Challenge + 3 keys + 1.5 items = (34.5)
-mini DBD Chieftain
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065864639#!/compare/1480809600/1480896000
(It's a QS, but it took 1 month to QS @ 30 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28637081 )
Plus with 35 being unsold for 2 months & 34 unsold for 1 month, I think it fits.
Sale #2
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041186431#!/compare/1478217600/1478304000 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28558304
Purple Confetti Specialized Killstreak Patriot Peak = (74)
Excluding due to current listings.
Sale #3
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041186431#!/compare/1480204800/1480291200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1480291200/1480377600
Appears to be SCM sale. (excluding)
-----------------
2 currently listed @ 40 keys
http://backpack.tf/item/5185846629 (2 weeks)
http://backpack.tf/item/5221298570 (3 weeks, have had on Outpost for 2 months without a B/O)
Taking 35 sale 1 (rounded) and using current listings to counter sale 2
Please let me know if I missed anything or made any mistakes. :)
[Re-suggesting @ 35 flat as Blaze recommended]