Suggestion: Haunted Ghosts Ground Control at 85–95 keys

Price Suggestion

~50 keys

ghosts

76 votes up

10 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sun, 05 Feb 17 21:17:40 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Haunted Ghosts Ground Control

Overpriced.

Sale 1:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133163345#!/compare/1479340800/1479427200

Sold with 2 key sweets for a Blizzardy Gatsby (18.5, indate, Kaw Gibus (52) and an Insomnia Norsemann (24.5, indate) + 1 keys sweets.

52 + 18.5 + 24.5 + 2 - 1 = 96

X = 95 (rounded)

Sale 2:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133163345#!/compare/1481328000/1481414400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133163345?time=1481414400 - Sort by time

Sold for a Starstorm Insomnia Mann of Reason.

No other sales there, would be super high there. Theres a reason the guy who got the ground control sold it to scrap.tf instantly, :p

Sale 3:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168489289#!/compare/1481328000/1481587200

Sold with Elite Grade Sniper Rifle skin for a Slumber BoA.

Better there for more data points

Sale 4:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168489289#!/compare/1481587200/1481673600

Sold with the Rainbow Sniper (22, see mini below) for a P.Fetti HKC (108, see mini below)

108 - 22 = 86

X = 85 (rounded)

Sale 5:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019370873#!/compare/1478131200/1478304000

Sold for a Roboactive Voodoo JuJu

Better used there.

Kill-a-Watt Galvinized Gibus Mini:

http://imgur.com/a/HhT5P

1 month unsold @ 52, taking 52

X = 52

Purple Confetti Hong Kong Cone Mini:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168489289#!/compare/1482451200/1482624000

Sold for a Blizzardy Crone (98, indate) + 10 keys pure

98 + 10 = 108

X = 108

Rainbow Sniper Rifle (Factory New) Mini:

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Rainbow%20Sniper%20Rifle%20%28Factory%20New%29

3 recent sales not countered by buy orders. Averaging them below. Keys were fluxuating around 2.3 to 2.4 during the time of these sales, using 2.35 below

((50 + 60 + 45)/3)/2.35 = 21.9

X = 22 (rounded)

Sales at:

Using both sales.

Final Price: 85 - 95 keys

the hkc mini is incorrect. I remembered I payed a p fetti hkc + 5 pure for the crones. I don't know why bp.tf is incorrect with that sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168489289?time=1482624000

Sort by time confirms I was wrong, however doesn't confirm that 5 keys were added. All the keys seem to from Geel, who wasn't involved in the sale. Probably inventories updating too fast; If you could screenshot the trade for conformation that would be great!

Edit: I just realized you added the keys, which would definitely make that mini low. I would def like the SS, but I'm gonna look for another mini.

Damn. Unfortunately I don't have a screenshot of it. Maybe asking the guy who sold it to me for confirmation? or just find another mini on his profile

All you have to do is go into your trade history and screencap the trade there, you might have to scroll a bit to find it, but it shouldn't be gone.

I checked the cone but couldnt find any other sales on that. All in all I think it should be okay as is though; the sniper mini is a tad high (probably because the mini here excludes fees; generally tends to make for higher prices). If thats gonna be a few keys lower, then the sale there will still round to 85 after corrections, given that the screenshot is provided; cant find the keys with the buyer either:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084178130#!/compare/1481932800/1483401600

[edit]

oh nvm I saw the keys were added at the other side of the trade, my bad. In that case it wont round anymore

Yeah I got all caught up in the averaging I forgot to account for the tax.

What should I do regarding the suggestion? Assuming I get the screenshot with the sale like he says should I just that as the mini? It seems a bit low imo. And if I cant get the SS, do I just use it as if no keys were added, or ignore the crones sale altogether? The cone is only 4 months outdated, and taking its current price isn't too bad, though I feel like you wouldn't want to set a range with it. With a fix to the Sniper that sale would probably be roundable to the suggested value using the current price on the cone. Your thoughts?

There is an alternative here, since the juju sale supports the higher sale here already. You could make this 95 flat, the juju 95-100 (and then the spartan 98; its technically up to you whether or not you want to redo those two as the difference can be considered roundable or close enough) and then it would technically be possible to update the cone with the GC sale and the crones sale. however, that'd mean it'd get a wide range, so if you do that, it'll probably be left open for a while (I think waiting for a third sale is better for that one, especially seeing how close to in-date it is).