Purple Confetti Fancy Fedora

New price: 32-35 keys

[proof below]

SALE #1 = 35 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105502031#!/compare/1478131200/1478217600

Sold for a Starstorm Slumber Airdog (35)

Mini for the Starstorm Slumber Airdog =

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064881445#!/compare/1479945600/1480204800

Sold for a Spectral Swirl Taunt: Soldier’s Requiem

http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Taunt%3A%20Soldier's%20Requiem/Tradable/Craftable/3014

All sellers at 35 so estimating at 35.

Other sales for the Airdog seem te be either outliers or quicksells. Going with 35.

SALE #2 = 35 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123537550#!/compare/1479513600/1479600000

Sold for a Flaming Lantern Gentlemen’s Gatsby (35)

Mini for the Gatsby = 35

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123537550#!/compare/1480377600/1480550400

Sold for a Steaming Demoman Fro (13) + Morning Glory Pyro’s Boron Beanie (22) = 35 keys

Mini for the Beanie = 22

http://backpack.tf/item/4003342005

http://backpack.tf/item/5141298086

Sold for a Stormy Storm Detective Noir = 22

http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Détective%20Noir/Tradable/Craftable/29

Outdated for just 2 weeks, however the sellers seem to be selling at 21/22/23 so I’ll take 22. That would be an accurate price tag for this hat. Basically Fedora -> Gatsby -> Boron Beanie -> Noir so this hat is 3 sales away from the Fedora so it should be fine to base this off sellers.

SALE #3 = 32 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123537550#!/compare/1479427200/1479513600

Sold for a Max Head (taking as 19 due to the fact that this sale was 2 months ago) + a Green Energy Magnificent Mongolian (13) = 32 keys.

Mini for the Green Energy Magnificent Mongolian = 13 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151005351#!/compare/1484870400/1484956800

Sold for 13 pure. Doesn’t look like a quicksell since it took him well over a month to sell it.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198194893602#!/compare/1485216000/1485302400

Also sold for 13 pure.

So there is a quickbuyer at 13 which makes 13 seem low but both a clean and duped one sold for 13 keys, and not that easy. I think it’s fine to value the Mongolian at 13 for now in this mini.

SALE #4 = 32 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202650566#!/compare/1485043200/1485129600

Bought for 32 pure keys. Probably not a quicksell since it still took the previous owner nearly 2 weeks to sell.

SALE #5 = invalid

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056144015#!/compare/1484265600/1484352000

Quicksold (<1 day) for 30 pure.

SUMMARY:

Sales: 32 / 32 / 35 / 35

Sellers: 39 / 40 / 40

http://backpack.tf/item/151952851 - young seller at 39 keys.

http://backpack.tf/item/236270686 - unsold (unknown amount of time, in inventory for 2 months) at 40

http://backpack.tf/item/159598470 - unsold (unknown amount of time, in inventory for 8 months) at 40

So the majority of the sales are at 32-35. That’s also going to be my suggested range. 1 or 2 quicksells at <30 keys (http://backpack.tf/item/151952851 ) and people can not seem to sell that quickly at 40 keys, let alone the current price 45 keys. This seems quite a drop but the fact that every single seller is at 40 keys or below should indicate a change as well.