Cloudy Moon Handyman’s Handle

Such a low price for a god/high tier effect. Compared to the other high/god tier effects on the Handle. Many sales though.

New price: 33-40 keys

[proof below]

SALE #1 = 34 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1485302400/1485388800

Bought mine for a clean Tesla Coil Jester and the seller added a Stormy Storm Pom Pommed Provocateur (16)

Mini for Jester: 50 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28644764 Sold for $97 market place. Depending on how you value keys, it should probably be around 55+ in market value or 47 ($1.85) in paypal. Going with 50.

I sold my clean Purple Confetti Peak (75) for the Jester + 2 australiums (9+14=23) + some low low tier skins and killstreaks. Should also be around 50

50 (Jester) – 16 (Pom pommed) = 34 for the Handle.

SALE #2 = 36 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153043737#!/compare/1485302400/1485388800

http://backpack.tf/item/1650053226

http://backpack.tf/item/2071171554

Seagull told me he bought it for his GBH Fez (45) and the guy added 9 keys. He later quicksold it for 23 keys (rip). Fez = 45-9 = 36 keys.

11:52 - Seagull | Trade.tf: then i sold it for the handy+ 9k

SALE #3 = 34 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326922470#!/compare/1483056000/1483142400

Sold for a Cloud 9 Lucky Shot (30) + 5 keys + 1 key in sweets = 36

http://imgur.com/a/pugfV (thanks to BON)

SALE #4 = 42

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311092830#!/compare/1483228800/1483315200

Sold for a Searing Tower Pillar of Hats (40) + C.A.P.P.E.R. (2) = 42

Mini for the Towering Pillar of Hats = 40 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150406851#!/compare/1482624000/1482796800

Sold for a Circling Peace Sign Ubersternmann (40)

Mini for the Circling Peace Sign Ubersternmann = 40

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090115058#!/compare/1481241600/1481328000

http://backpack.tf/item/4975486088

http://backpack.tf/item/461217240

Sold for a Haunted Ghost Sergeant’s Drill Hat (40)

SALE #5 = 40 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326922470#!/compare/1483228800/1483401600

Sold for a Searing Towering Pillar of Hats (40)

Mini for the Towering Pillar of Hats = 40

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150406851#!/compare/1482624000/1482796800

Sold for a Circling Peace Sign Ubersternmann (40)

Mini for the Circling Peace Sign Ubersternmann = 40

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090115058#!/compare/1481241600/1481328000

http://backpack.tf/item/4975486088

http://backpack.tf/item/461217240

Sold for a Haunted Ghost Sergeant’s Drill Hat (40)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28689258

Not capping here since his ususual B/O was 40.

SALE #6 = 25 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140040374#!/compare/1480377600/1480723200

Sold for a Searing Plasma Batter’s (25)

SALE #7 = 24 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140040374#!/compare/1479513600/1480118400

Sold for a Green Confetti Reggaelator (open suggestion at 24)

SALE #8 = 28 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173378059#!/compare/1479945600/1480032000

Sold with a Terror-Watt Heer’s Helmet (22) for a Mega Strike Taunt: Party Trick (50 -> current open suggestion)

50-22 = 28 keys

SALE #9 = 38 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035312409#!/compare/1479686400/1479772800

Sold for a Miami Nights Cold Killer (34) + 4 keys.

34 + 4 = 38 keys.

SALE #10 = 19 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183011975#!/compare/1478736000/1478908800

Sold for a Starstorm Slumber Cranial Carcharodon (18.5 -> 19)

SALE #11 = 31 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165510438#!/compare/1479859200/1479945600

Sold for a Vivid Plasma Desert Marauder (31) + 1 key in metal/sweets = 33 keys.

Mini for the Vivid Plasma Desert Marauder = 32

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165510438#!/compare/1480982400/1481155200.

Sold for a Killstreak Australium Scattergun with a bunch of expensive parts. Backpack.tf giving a value of 32 keys so I’ll just go with that, given that the parts are not accounted full price so it should be fine.

SALE #12 = 33 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252752536#!/compare/1480118400/1480291200

Sold for a Spec KS Australium Scattergun = 33 according to backpack.tf. Same applies to this Scattergun. High end parts (lower than the previous one) but higher tier killstreak. Going with 33 as well.

What a load of sales…

SUMMARY:

Sales: 19 / 24 / 25 / 28 / 33 / 33 / 34 / 34 / 36 / 38 / 38 / 40 / 42

Sellers: 40 (me)

This is kind of tricky. First of all, I will put the 19 sale away. Obvious quicksell. Second, I will put the 42 sale away since I am selling at 40 keys. That leaves us with 24-40. So, the Searing Batter sale was 2 months ago and looks like an outlier as well and the sale at 25 (Reggaelator) was worth 35 at the time the trade was done.

Same goes for the 28 sale. By the time the item was being traded, the taunt was worth 60. Which means the sale would have been 38. So far every sale below 30 looks like an outlier or is simply worth less because the hats they traded for were falling in price. (25/28 sale).

It may sound crazy but I dont think the Tower sales are outliers, considering the Handle sold twice for the same hat, and the second sale a Capper got added as well. Given how many sales there are above 33, I'll just go with the higher end sales.

I’ll go with 33-40 as it seems the best for now. Feel free to add more proof or point out any flaws.