Sale 1:

Sold for Orbiting Fire Ketche (Mini at 10 below) + >1.5 keys in items

Can’t find outpost (B/O would be deleted anyway)

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019556015#!/compare/1478044800/1478131200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283567511#!/compare/1477785600/1478131200

X = 12

Sale 2:

Sold for 9 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178529621#!/compare/1479859200/1479945600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060959523#!/compare/1479859200/1479945600

X = 9

Sale 3:

Sold for 9 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094239817#!/compare/1483228800/1483747200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031126990#!/compare/1483660800/1483747200

X = 9

Sale 4:

Quicksold for 9 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28662695 - B/O of 11

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090501778#!/compare/1481760000/1481846400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198318797339#!/compare/1481760000/1481846400

X = 9

Sale 5:

Sold with ~5 keys in items for Killstreak Festive Rocket launcher (13)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283567511#!/compare/1478649600/1478822400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059011775#!/compare/1478563200/1478649600

X = 8

Sale 6:

Sold for Bubbling Mann of Reason

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066516927#!/compare/1481932800/1482019200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041536030#!/compare/1481241600/1482019200

This looks very high, might be better to update the Mann with this sale though.

Orbiting Fire Ketche Mini:

Sale 1:

Sold with >2 keys in items for Cloud 9 Plumber’s Pipe (12.5)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262781287#!/compare/1479513600/1479600000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034095893#!/compare/1479513600/1479600000

X = 10

Sale 2:

Sold for 10 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034095893#!/compare/1479686400/1479772800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190957026#!/compare/1479772800/1479859200

X = 10

Going with 10 for the ketche

Sales at:

12

9 (3x)

8

8 is countered by buyers. Excluding 8.

Of the three sales at 9, only one of them you could determine how long it had been on the market for, and it quicksold that only time. Considering this, it wouldn’t be such a good idea to include 9 in the range. Also, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28420695 - Buyer at 9 here.

Excluding 9.

Going with 12 flat.