Sale 1:

Sold for 12 keys + ~3 keys in items

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138711211#!/compare/1480723200/1481068800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251138002#!/compare/1480896000/1480982400

X = 15

Sale 2:

Sold for at least 17 keys in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28648156 - B/O of 14

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133138695#!/compare/1480982400/1481068800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072014453#!/compare/1481068800/1481328000

X = 14 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 3:

Sold for 11 keys + 80 ref (~3)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28719489 - B/O of 15

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065879955#!/compare/1484438400/1484524800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198256708396#!/compare/1484006400/1484524800

X = 14

Sale 4:

Sold for 13 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28643031 - Deleted B/O, re-list of http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28640945 (B/O of 13) and many more

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197997146443#!/compare/1480809600/1480896000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107120524#!/compare/1480809600/1480896000

X = 13

Sale 5:

Quicksold for 12 keys + 6 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28654233 - B/O of 13.5

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031126990#!/compare/1480809600/1481328000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186760239#!/compare/1481155200/1481328000

X = 12

Sale 6:

Sold for 12 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28668712 - B/O of 12.2, re-listed twice prior to this.

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089034531#!/compare/1482451200/1482537600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061836787#!/compare/1482451200/1482537600

X = 12

Sale 7:

Sold for 12 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28635081 - B/O of 12, re-list of a previous trade with the same B/O, took about 2 days to sell

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269284891#!/compare/1480291200/1480377600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295811466#!/compare/1480291200/1480377600

X = 12

Sale 8:

Quicksold for 11 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28665578 - B/O of 12

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157996737#!/compare/1481932800/1482019200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089034531#!/compare/1481932800/1482019200

X = 11

Sale 9:

Sold for Neutron Star Wing Mann + ~2.5 keys in items

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186760239#!/compare/1481500800/1481932800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157996737#!/compare/1481846400/1481932800

Shouldn’t be used here, and will probably be too low on the Wing Mann too.

Sale 10:

Sold for Bubbling Pyro’s Beanie

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072014453#!/compare/1484352000/1484438400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065879955#!/compare/1484352000/1484438400

May be better to update the Beanie with this sale.

Sellers:

14 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/4QuQADp.png - 1 month

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198061836787

15 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/BbJsvId.png - 2 months

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198076020691

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28693816

http://i.imgur.com/ttIPk8b.png - 1 month

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198050933686

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28726473

16 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/tqx1RL4.png - 2 months

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198061376237

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28720545

17 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/W53nJvp.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198021272428

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28719690

Offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28016699 - 9 months

http://backpack.tf/u/76561197999127845

Sales at:

11

12

13

14

15

11 quicksold, excluding 11.

Was originally going to go with 12-15, however, 12 seems to quicksell, and 15 may be a bit too high, given that it’s the only sale at that value, and seeing as there are many aged sellers for around and less than that price. Excluding 12 and 15, shortening the range.

Going with 13-14.