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Circling Peace Sign Fortunate Son
I thought this was overpriced, apparently not.
New price: 60-90 keys
[proof below]
SALE #1 = 93 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177056801#!/compare/1484870400/1485129600
Sold for a Miami Nights Coldsnap Cap (93)
Mini for the Miami Nights Coldsnap Cap = 93 keys
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/588a4db0e3387746297876dd
Current suggestion at 93
SALE #2 = 80 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067161406#!/compare/1482969600/1483228800
Sold with 4 keys for a Fountain of Delight Taunt: Meet The Medic (100)
100-4 = 96 keys.
B/O on the Circling Peace Sign Unfortunate Son was 80 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28672324
SALE #3 = 99 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084447725#!/compare/1484265600/1484352000
Sold for a Mega Strike Taunt: Square Dance (90) + 9 keys = 89 keys.
SALE #4 = 80 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084447725#!/compare/1484611200/1484697600
Sold for a Knifestorm Vintage Merryweather (80)
Mini for the Knifestorm Vintage Merryweather = 80 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084447725#!/compare/1484784000/1484956800
Sold for a Terror-Watt Crone Dome (80)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28718703
He lowered his B/O to 70 very shortly before receiving the Merryweather offer (quite possibly the buyer didn’t even add him from this TF2OP trade), since I adviced him to do so because he wanted to get rid of the hat. Ofcourse, I can’t show proof of this, but I think it’d be unfair to cap this at 70 while other sales are at 80+, and this sale should be considered 80 as well. Not 70 because he lowered his unbumped TF2OP trade a short time before he got the Merryweather.
SALE #5 = invalid
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197979682099#!/compare/1485129600/1485216000
Sold with a Prof KS Strange Shotgun (7) + Infernal Flames Taunt: Bad Pipes for a Blizzardy Storm Crone Dome (98)
The average seller for the Taunt is 30 so 98 – 30 – 7 = 61 keys. This seems (Even without the mini) extremely low when compared to the other sales.
SALE #6 = 92 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197979682099#!/compare/1483574400/1484524800
Sold for Orbiting Fire Exquisite Rack (58) + Blizzardy Storm Furious Fukaamigasa (20) + Nuts n' Bolts Noble Nickel Amassment of Hats (14)
58 + 20 + 14 = 92 keys.
Mini for The Orbiting Fire Exquisite Rack = 58
http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Exquisite%20Rack/Tradable/Craftable/33
Sellers at 54 keys. Sale at 62, taking the average at 58.
http://backpack.tf/item/714906083
http://backpack.tf/item/1556081943
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053700606#!/compare/1484611200/1484784000
Sold for a Misty Skull Guadalajara (62)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28722748
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5888fd57c440453495178c0a
http://imgur.com/a/Ci9M7
Pampick confirmed that his B/O was 62.
Mini for the Misty Skull Guadalajara = 72 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041376804#!/compare/1484179200/1484265600
Sold for a Demonflame Grenadier’s Softcap (72)
Mini for the Nuts & Bolts Noble Nickle Amassment of Hats = 14 keys
https://i.gyazo.com/00449b7337348918a39c7c42a5c46f5a.png
Screenshot from Pampick. The seller is gone now, so no sellers right now, but high likely a sale around 14. Given the fact that he was actually selling at 14 (unusual overpay capped at 14) I’ll value the hat at 14.
SALE #7 = 80 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065118999#!/compare/1484438400/1484524800
Sold with a Massed Flies Killer’s Kabuto (15) for a Vivid Plasma Bill’s Sport Shine (95)
95-15 = 80 keys
Mini for the Vivid Plasma Bill’s Sport Shine = 95
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5888fd57c440453495178c0a
Current suggestion at 85-105 keys.
Mini for the Massed Flies Killer’s Kabuto = 15 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065118999#!/compare/1483401600/1483488000
Sold for 15 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28519995 - 3 months at 70 keys
http://backpack.tf/item/4163671032
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28654200 - 1 month at 65 keys, however, it doesn't appear in the user's backpack, and seems to have disappeared
http://backpack.tf/item/5124680665
SUMMARY:
Sales: 80 / 80 / 89 / 92 / 93 / 96 / 99
Sellers: -
Going with 60-90 as it seemed better according to Foamy and others.
Why 60?
I know foamy said so, but you didnt write anything about 60 in the suggestion...
did you mean 80-90? like where's 60 from?
Unsold at 65 for a while and Foamy wanted 61 in the range as well. Read through the comments in my previous suggestion as Foamy explained it there.
It's your responsibility to put it in the suggestion.
Sale 4) New Suggestion coming soon for the Merryweather and the Crone's price although indate is not representative of the sellers, Unsold for 20 Days @ 70
Sellers on the square dance you have in sale 3 at 60, 67, 68, 70. Definitely not worth 90. That sale is realistically closer to 70. This actually might be better suited to be used to help price the coldsnap which will end up being closer to 70-95 or so. And finally the sale 4 is probably going to be closer to 70 as alluded to above.
So really sales here are 70, 70, 80, 83, 90, 90, 95. Now I think we have a bit more perspective and a range of 60-90 doesn't look so ridiculous any more when really looking at the sale values.