Sale 1:

Sold for Massed Flies Elf Esteem (Mini at 12 below) + 4 keys + Parted Strange Festive Black Box (~2.5, realistically)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28725428 - No B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075376776#!/compare/1484870400/1484956800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115092849#!/compare/1484006400/1484956800

X = 19

Sale 2:

Sold with ~3 keys in items for Strange Minimal Wear Purple Range Sniper Rifle (~19, according to SCM sales)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132847793#!/compare/1484352000/1484524800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117404218#!/compare/1484438400/1484524800

X = 16

Sale 3:

Sold for 15 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28602387 - No visible B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054758757#!/compare/1483401600/1483488000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095755672#!/compare/1483228800/1483574400

X = 15

Sale 4:

Quicksold for 12 keys + ~1 key in items

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117404218#!/compare/1484438400/1484524800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075376776#!/compare/1484438400/1484524800

X = 13

Sale 5: (Dupe)

Sold for Starstorm Slumber Cyborg Stunt Helmet + ~4 keys in metal/items

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076020691#!/compare/1478908800/1478995200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073122944#!/compare/1478908800/1478995200

May be better to update the Helmet with this sale, however, it’ll probably end up being too low there.

Sale 6:

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Buckaroo’s + 3 keys + Rancho (>0.5)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153939217#!/compare/1479254400/1479340800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132847793#!/compare/1479254400/1479340800

Couldn’t get a decent mini on the Buckaroo’s. This’ll most likely end up falling in the range, anyways.

Massed Flies Elf Esteem Mini:

Sold for 12 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1484870400/1484956800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115092849#!/compare/1484006400/1484956800

X = 12

Sales at:

13

15

16

19

13 Quicksold, excluding 13.

Don’t want to include 19 in the range, as the mini in there is rather weak. Sale 6 supports the current price anyways.

Going with 15-16.