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~265 keys
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Unusual Snowmann Stormy Storm
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Been keeping an eye on this for 3 weeks now waiting for a new sale

Sale 1

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970548801#!/compare/1483833600/1483920000

Sold with subatomic spacemann and 60 keys for seating cardboard 670-142.5-60=467.5 rounding to 470

Sale 2

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970548801#!/compare/1485475200/1485648000 1-1 clean scorching modest 370

Modest mini

Unsold at 370 for 2 months

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28598204

http://m.imgur.com/gP03rtB

    The modest has resold:


    Some deal for the C9 banana, better used for that

    http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970548801#!/compare/1486684800/1486771200


    Sold for Duped Vintage Earbuds and a Circling Heart Hound Dog

    http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037248506#!/compare/1486684800/1486771200

    http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1486684800/1486771200


    Sold for a Burning Flames Bubble Pipe, an Eerie Orbiting Fire Le Party Phantom, a Scorching Flames Counterfeit Billycock, a Hellish Inferno Taunt: Buy A Life and 50 Keys

    http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1487116800/1487203200

    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28779664 B/O was 425


    The modest is going to be higher than 370, but then again the Subatomic Space Mann is going to be less than 142. So if both sales were to be fixed, they'd fall around the same median as you have right now. I think it's fair to call this close enough.