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~1650 keys
spellbnd
Unusual Front Runner Spellbound
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Sorry MrKevin, but you were offline and I wanted to get this over with. :P


Sale 1, full credits to Emp. and MrKevin:


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1486771200/1487030400


Sold for a Sunbeams Flamboyant Flamenco (145, still in-date, no need of a mini) + a Something Burning This Way Comes Larrikin Robin (42 keys, mini) = 187

Had a B/O of 180 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28770128

= 180 keys


Mini for the Larrikin:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089224738#!/compare/1479513600/1479600000 = 48.5 keys rounding to 49. But caps at the B/O here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28617003 , so, 42. (credits to Pampick)


Sale 2, full credits to MrKevin:


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159542421#!/compare/1486252800/1486339200


Sold with 6 keys for a Circling TF Logo Tyrant's Helm (33.5) + an Aces High Slo-Poke (18, mini) + Disco Beat Down Vintage Tyrolean (50, mini) + Disco Beat Down Brainiac Hairpiece (55, mini)


Mini for the Slo-Poke:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346537007#!/compare/1486166400/1486425600 = 18 keys pure


Mini for the Tyrolean:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026496701#!/compare/1481932800/1482537600 = sold for an Amaranthine Bunsen Brave = 57 keys. BO of 50 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28672080 (credits to Pampick)


Mini for the Brainiac:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207940136#!/compare/1486771200/1486944000 = sold for a vivid plasma killer's kabuto. Buyout at 55: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28741558


Micro for kabuto: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103054597#!/compare/1485216000/1485475200 sold for molten mallard mikman (40, outdated) + blizzardy stainless (16, barely outdated) + strange pro ks shortstop (2). The buyout was 65, so, irrelevant : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28722602


Now I'm not going to do micros on micros: what matters is that the kabuto caps at 55, the buyout on the brainiac, and it's safe to say it does. Therefore, the brainiac can be minied at 55.


That makes the sale at 151, rounded down to 150.


Sale 3, full credits to MrKevin:


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159542421#!/compare/1486166400/1486252800


Sold with a Strange Disco Beat Down Deep Cover Operator (75, mini) and 10 keys for a Frostbite Head Warmer (150)


Approximate Mini for the DCO https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041186431#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000 = sold for a Purple Confetti Bonk Boy (unsold at 55 for 5 months, taking 50) + Mega Strike Results are in (25, many unsolds above) = 75 keys


The mini is approximate because, as you can see, that would be far too low regarding the front runner in any case.. Ruling out as low outlier.


Sale 4: Duh? http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041186431#!/compare/1482278400/1482364800 Not usable.


Clarification towards the still in-date suggestion, that you can find here: http://backpack.tf/suggestion/587a10860e2cad5408075d59

The suggestion is in-date. The sales themselves, however, will become outdated, both of them, during the second half of February. Whether or not they still have to be considered is thus questionnable.

For the sake of hypothetizing, let's say they are to be still considered. Well, that makes sales at 121, 150, 170 and 180. The only reason the suggestion was accepted at that time with such a big range is because there were only two sales, and nothing pointed out to one being too low or the other being too high. Now that we have additional sales, it appears clear that 121 is the value to be ruled out. As for 170, well, it fits in the range.


So no matter whether the previous suggestion is to be taken or not, the appropriate range, regarding all the information at our disposal, is 150-180. Comments are welcome!

    Whats with everyone trying to price this

      2 people who were involved with the hat tried to price it but didn't use all sales and/or did not suggest with the right range. So this should be the final suggestion.


      *another sale appears in 2 days*

        *or I just messed up super hard and everything gotta be redone*

      At least I tried xD Looks way better than the others

        Confirming both sales

        http://imgur.com/gBDh5MA

        confirming sale 1 here.


        Confirming sale 2 here.

        http://imgur.com/ke7zZSD

        For this I added sweets but they added up to a key due to the fact emp wanted black paint. so its 186 total

        Still caps at my b/o so its fine.


        "Hey man you're going to sell it for 180 anyways just settle at 6 keys please." - [iFC] Wucs S> Unusuals

          Thank you!