Sale 1: (Dupe)

Sold for Peace Sign Stout Shako (26)

No outpost. Seller is re-selling the Shako for 23 however

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1486425600/1486684800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199768014#!/compare/1486684800/1486771200

X = 23 (Capping at Shako B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold for Australium Black Box (15 at the time) + 2 keys + ~5 keys in items

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069813252#!/compare/1483574400/1483660800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198392589#!/compare/1483488000/1483660800

X = 22

Sale 3: (Dupe)

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Tippler’s Tricorne + Strange Breakneck Baggies (~3) in a day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28773164 - B/O of 20

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199768014#!/compare/1486684800/1486771200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086605050#!/compare/1486512000/1486771200

Based on the amount of sellers at 14 and 15 on the tricorne, this’ll probably end up being around 18 keys, which looks like a bit of an outlier. On top of that, it sold pretty quickly.

Sale 4:

Sold for Cloud 9 Hottie’s Hoodie

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136487957#!/compare/1484352000/1484438400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110951310#!/compare/1484352000/1484438400

May be better to update the Hoodie with this sale, due to lack of B/O.

Sale 5:

Sold with ~4 keys in taunts for Haunted Phantasm Jr. Tungsten Toque

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088975567#!/compare/1484524800/1484611200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081308286#!/compare/1484438400/1484611200

Would be better to update the tungsten toque with this sale.

Sellers:

22 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/WvpNvZX.png - 4 months

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198066195760

http://i.imgur.com/f269oAo.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198119563409 - 1 day

Sales at:

~18

22

23

Excluding 18 for the reason listed in the sale at 18.

Seller at 22 is 4 months old. Probably best not to exceed 22. Excluding 23.

Going with 22 flat.