Suggestion: Roboactive Lucky Shot at 72–100 keys

Price Suggestion

~540 keys

robo

105 votes up

9 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Sat, 25 Mar 17 15:51:27 +0000 by Mindacos.

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Comments

Roboactive Luckyshot

New price: 72-100 keys

[proof below]

SALE #1 = 72 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193523473#!/compare/1487462400/1487548800

Sold for a Prof KS Strange Machina (12) + 60 keys = 72 keys.

SALE #2 = invalid

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066921803#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000

Sold in a bulk trade.

SALE #3 = invalid

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047208911#!/compare/1484611200/1484697600

Sold in a bulk trade.

SALE #4 = invlid

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073592638#!/compare/1480896000/1480982400

Sold in a bulk trade.

SALE #5 = invalid

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073592638#!/compare/1480723200/1480809600

Sold in a bulk trade.

SALE #6 =

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066921803#!/compare/1485129600/1485216000

Sold for a Circling Heart Tyrant’s Helm (80) + Prof KS Stickybomb Launcher (20) = 100 keys.

Mini for the Circling Heart Tyrant’s Helm = 80

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066921803#!/compare/1484697600/1484784000

Sold for a Green Black Hole Stainless Pot (74) + Spec KS Australium Stickybomb Launcher (14) = 88 keys. Capping at 80 keys due to sellers for the Circling Heart Tyrant’s Helm.

http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Tyrant's%20Helm/Tradable/Craftable/19

Few young sellers at 77-80 so I’ll just go with 80 since seller at 77 is 1 day.

Mini for The Green Black Hole Stainless Pot = 74 keys (not really necessary this mini)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122624569#!/compare/1485734400/1485820800

Sold for a duped Scorching Defiant Spartan (80) and 6 keys were added along the GBH Stainless Pot = 74 keys.

The Scorching Defiant Spartan got priced at 90 keys 1 month ago but the duped one is probably less and the current seller is selling it for 80 keys so I will take it as 80. Should be accurate enough since this sale is 2-3 mini’s away from the Luckyshot. It will be capped anyways at the Circling Heart Tyrant’s Helm.

SUMMARY

Sales: 72 / 100

Sellers: 100 / 100

http://backpack.tf/item/1652553261 - 6 days

http://backpack.tf/item/2118887303 - 15 days

It took the last owner 3 weeks to sell at 72 keys. He had no b/o though, so I don't consider it an outlier. This suggestion might be up for a longer time to see if other sales occur (since there are 2 sellers) but for now, 72-100 keys looks fine here.

Ty for making this :)

Just sold mine 1:1 with a frostbite slo-Poke. Honestly I think the 72 one is outlier. My B/o was 100 on the lucky and the guy b/o was 100 on the Slo.

https://i.imgur.com/2W0j1yX.png Also Slo is updated at 80-100

Sales at 72,90,100, resuggest at 90-100

Sales at 72, 90, 100. Looks like a good range to me, also it still took the guy 3 weeks to sell for 72. Considering that the 72 was pure and 100 overpay (based on 2 mini's) I think that my suggested range is fine. I'd prefer to wait for another sale to determine if there are no outliers or wait for a moderator's advice here.

Not to mention to that there's still a seller at 100 keys for nearly a month.

http://backpack.tf/item/2118887303

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28771296 - also no offers for 3 weeks

I saw the 72 seller. He always lowered his price after a pure buyer bought it. Also in my opinion 72 is far away from 100 than 90.

' http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28771296 - also no offers for 3 weeks' yea may no offer,but the trade still is unbumped 3 days ago. Why would anyone offer on an unbumped trade when I had it and Im bumping like every 1 hour or so.

Unbumped doesn't really matter when there's only 3 on outpost. It's still on the same page.

Also

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013319070#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000 sale for an outdated taunt (110, 2 sellers 100+)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28715635 - B/O at 80

Sales at 72, 80, 90, 100. That B/O and sale support my suggested range.

Well we'll see....

'why capping at 80 instead do mini for taunt'

Because the taunt will high likely end up at 100+, due to not being inflated and stable sellers at current price.

I'll do some research later but the sale will be capped anyways unless it ends up below 80, which would then also support my suggested price.

Another sale:

Sold for 68 Keys, although it sold rather quickly:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1488844800/1488931200