Sale 1:

Sold for Logo Salty Dog + Purple Energy Big Elfin Deal + Blizzardy Storm Glengarry Bonnet

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28631688 - B/O of 75

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188251237#!/compare/1480377600/1480550400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156962349#!/compare/1480550400/1480723200

This’ll easily cap.

X = 75 (Capped by B/O)

Sale:2

Sold with 3 keys + 20 ref (>0.5) for Aussie Scattergun (26) + Circling Heart Flipped Trilby (40)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28716020 - B/O of 65

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114635132#!/compare/1484956800/1485043200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185057642#!/compare/1484697600/1485043200

X = 62

Sale 3:

Sold for Searing Plasma Voodoo JuJu (Mini at 55 below)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117646079#!/compare/1482192000/1482278400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095303005#!/compare/1482192000/1482278400

X = 55

Sale 4:

Sold with a key + >1.5 keys in items for Burning Flames L’inspecteur (Mini at 55 below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28615082 - No B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064867773#!/compare/1482019200/1482105600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141317094#!/compare/1481846400/1482105600

X = 52

Sale 5:

Sold for DBD Cannonball (Mini at 45 below) + ~6 keys in items

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1482278400/1482364800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162463523#!/compare/1482278400/1482364800

X = 51

Sale 6:

Sold with 5 keys + Minor items (>0) for Eerie Orbiting Fire Company Man (50.5)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204215085#!/compare/1482105600/1482192000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117646079#!/compare/1482105600/1482192000

X = 45

Sale 7:

Sold for Miami Nights Harmburg (25) + Killstreak Aussie Flamethrower (15) in about a day

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204824055#!/compare/1487635200/1487721600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198288714795#!/compare/1487635200/1487721600

X = 40

Sale 8:

Sold for Hot Minimal Wear Blue Mew Rocket launcher + Aces High Liquidator’s Lid (Mini at 14 below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28663325 - B/O of 65

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043936328#!/compare/1482192000/1482278400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108980921#!/compare/1482278400/1482364800

Cannot get a mini on the Blue Mew, but with a quickbuyer at 34, it’s safe to say this will be at least 49.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VM9EVSluq59ft2Eb35OdsU2wUVt0S5KXCwk3H72h_Rc/edit#gid=0

Sale 9:

Sold for Isotope Field-Tested Corsair Scattergun

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28584357 - B/O of 60, Seller confirms sale (legend)

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065733542#!/compare/1482192000/1482278400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1481932800/1482278400

This’ll probably be around 40 keys.

Sale 10:

Bulk for Strange Normal Scattergun

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108980921#!/compare/1484524800/1484611200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1484524800/1484611200

Sale 11:

Sold for Starstorm Slumber Dark Falkirk Helm

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162463523#!/compare/1483228800/1483315200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082422809#!/compare/1483142400/1483315200

May be better to price the Falkirk with this sale.

Sale 12:

Sold with Boxtrot (1) for Infernal Flames Boston Breakdance

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141317094#!/compare/1481846400/1482105600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204215085#!/compare/1482105600/1482192000

Would be better to price the Breakdance with this sale.

Sale 13:

Sold for Neutron Star Hot Dogger + <0.5 keys in items

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198288714795#!/compare/1487635200/1487721600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119581955#!/compare/1487548800/1487721600

Might work on the Dogger.

Sale 14:

Sold for Purple Energy Whoopee + Steaming Brainiac + Kill-a-Watt Pyromancer’s Mask

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185057642#!/compare/1485043200/1485561600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123739261#!/compare/1483574400/1485043200

This’ll be a large outlier.

Sale 15:

Sold for Duped Haunted Ghosts Demoman’s Fro + 19 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28674048 - B/O of 70

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095303005#!/compare/1482451200/1482537600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278616833#!/compare/1482451200/1482537600

No mini available on the Fro.

Sale 16:

Sold for Starstorm Insomnia Slo-Poke + Strange PDA (8) + 6 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28687512 - B/O of 60

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278616833#!/compare/1486771200/1487376000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060364147#!/compare/1487289600/1487376000

Slo Poke has sales at 32 pure and 40, but has sellers at 25, 33 and 35. Probably better to see what happens with those sellers on the Poke before grabbing a price from it.

Sale 17:

Sold with Strange Spec. KS Festive Scattergun (<14.5) + 3 keys for Starstorm Slumber Tough Stuff Muffs (85)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28712067 - No B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038391383#!/compare/1482969600/1484092800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114635132#!/compare/1483833600/1484092800

Muffs may be in-date at 85, however, there are multiple sellers for 70. 85 may be too high here. Not using this sale.

Searing Voodoo JuJu Mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58b16012c4404578274f548b

Burning L’inspecteur Mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58b182bb0e2cad6abe7466c1

DBD Cannonball Mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58b1bcc1e3387734cf724875

Aces High Liquidator’s Lid:

Sold for Aussie Tomislav (~12.6) + 1 key + 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28796459 - B/O of 17

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014827423#!/compare/1487808000/1487894400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136702159#!/compare/1487808000/1487894400

X = 14

Sellers:

60 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/bHl8l6y.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198060364147

http://i.imgur.com/XojtWyI.png - 3 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198011321852

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28793929

http://i.imgur.com/5USKFlj.png - 14 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198090956917

http://i.imgur.com/h6QhzaS.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198119581955

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28795762 - 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28739174 - 1 month (on marketplace)

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198017901187

Offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28581486 - Offers

http://backpack.tf/u/76561197987183850

Sales at:

40

45

51

52

55

62

75

75 is an outlier. Excluding 75.

Rounding 62 down to 60, due to the large amount of sellers at 60.

Going to shorten the range by excluding 40, as it sold in a short amount of time, and would create an average of 52.5 (which seems to be where the majority of the sales are at).

Going with 45-60.