Sale 1:

Sold for 24 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28716365 - B/O of 23

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109583337#!/compare/1487635200/1487721600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150213104#!/compare/1487635200/1487721600

X = 23 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 2: (Dupe)

Sold for Starstorm Slumber Wide-Brimmed Bandito (15.5) + Strange PDA (<8). PDA has sellers for cheaper at the moment.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28748987 - B/O of 19

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103711495#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095894723#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000

Gonna ignore the B/O due to how quickly it sold.

Should also be fair to round down due to the uncertainty of the brim’s price.

X = 23

Sale 3: (Dupe)

Sold with a key for Stormy Master’s Yellow Belt

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28767214 - B/O of 22

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176960099#!/compare/1487030400/1487462400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302616806#!/compare/1487376000/1487548800

Easily caps at the B/O. I can provide a sale of 28 pure on the belt if necessary

X = 22 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 4:

Sold for Disco Beat Down Big Country (Mini at 20 below) + 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28673380 - B/O of 22

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311092830#!/compare/1482278400/1482364800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198338556449#!/compare/1482278400/1482364800

X = 22

Sale 5: (Dupe)

Sold for Max’s (19) + ~3 keys in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28726366 - No visible B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1486425600/1486512000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198236255712#!/compare/1486512000/1486598400

X = 22

Sale 6:

Sold for 21 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069813252#!/compare/1488240000/1488326400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263243336#!/compare/1488240000/1488326400

X = 21

Sale 7:

Sold for 21 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126204929#!/compare/1483833600/1483920000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198277195550#!/compare/1483920000/1484006400

X = 21

Sale 8:

Sold for 20 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1482192000/1482364800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311092830#!/compare/1482278400/1482364800

X = 20

Sale 9:

Sold for 4 keys + 458 ref (<15.5). Keys were 29.22 ref at the time.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28676836 - Deleted B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198338556449#!/compare/1482969600/1483056000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109583337#!/compare/1482969600/1483056000

X = 19

Sale 10:

Sold for Strange Gunslinger (18)+ <0.5 keys in items in less than a day

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284975688#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043826027#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000

X = 18

Sale 11: (Dupe)

Sold in ~3 days for 18 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043897422#!/compare/1486598400/1486684800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155123952#!/compare/1486598400/1486684800

X = 18

Sale 12: (Dupe)

Sold for Australium Ambassador (14) + 3 keys + <0.5 keys in metal in ~2 days

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132222316#!/compare/1485648000/1485734400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103711495#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000

X = 17

Sale 13:

Quicksold for 16 keys + ~1 key in metal/items

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130579834#!/compare/1484524800/1484611200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198319767899#!/compare/1484524800/1484611200

X = 17

Sale 14:

Sold for Dead Presidents Cranium + Potassium Bonnet (~10.5) + 3 keys + Flamedeer (1.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28764366 - No visible B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036027738#!/compare/1487376000/1487462400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125501738#!/compare/1487289600/1487462400

Don’t want to set a high end with this sale, due to the lack of B/O. This’ll support the high-end, however.

Sale 15:

Sold for Miami Nights Connoisseur’s Cap + 4 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28696434 - B/O of 22

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141683844#!/compare/1483660800/1483747200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069813252#!/compare/1483660800/1483747200

Should easily fall into the range, if not cap at the B/O.

Sale 16:

Sold for Stormy Storm El Jefe + Collector’s Pro. KS Boston Basher

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119563409#!/compare/1483056000/1483142400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141683844#!/compare/1483056000/1483142400

This’ll end up being an outlier without a B/O cap.

Sale 17:

Bulk for Scorching Football Helmet

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072744029#!/compare/1482105600/1482192000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010679196#!/compare/1482192000/1482278400

Sale 18:

Bulk for Secret Salty

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043826027#!/compare/1486166400/1486252800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120347528#!/compare/1486166400/1486252800

Sale 19:

Bulk for Anti-Freeze Merc’s Mohawk

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120347528#!/compare/1486252800/1486339200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036027738#!/compare/1486252800/1486339200

Sale 20:

Bulk for Stare From Beyond Tough Guy’s Toque

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183999845#!/compare/1483747200/1483833600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104064829#!/compare/1483747200/1483833600

Sale 21: (Dupe)

Bulk for Burning Carouser’s Capotain

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118824334#!/compare/1487808000/1487894400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1487721600/1487808000

Sale 22: (Dupe)

Bulk for Electrostatic Fez

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095894723#!/compare/1485734400/1485820800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097968479#!/compare/1485734400/1485820800

Sale 23:

Sold with 9 keys for Frostbite Coupe

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010679196#!/compare/1483142400/1483315200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183999845#!/compare/1483228800/1483315200

Should be used on the Coupe

Sale 24:

Sold with ~10 keys in items for Circling Heart Noir

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275007120#!/compare/1483660800/1483833600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126204929#!/compare/1483747200/1483833600

Too bulky to be used.

Sale 25:

Sold with 4 keys? for Blizzardy Storm Tartan Tyrolean

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263243336#!/compare/1488326400/1488412800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082642255#!/compare/1488326400/1488412800

Don’t know if the keys were involved. Might be better to update the Tyro with this sale instead.

Disco Beat Down Big Country Mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58bbe1aec44045576f702d52

Sellers:

20 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/y9BNP2q.png - 1 day

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198061926111

22 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/KwJmwEW.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198129962341

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28810153 - 2 days

Offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28564103 - 4 months

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198079275897

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28755597 - 1 month

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198104064829

Sales at:

17 (2x)

18 (2x)

19

20

21 (2x)

22 (3x)

23 (2x)

18 and under quicksold, excluding 18 and 19.

May as well round up the low-end to 20, weak support for the low-end, and the sale at 19 is only just under 19.5.

Going with 20-23.