Sale 1:

Sold for a Planets Airdog (20)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28659726 - B/O of 25

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125329673#!/compare/1482278400/1482364800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000247762#!/compare/1482278400/1482364800

X = 20

Sale 2:

Sold for Max’s (19)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112612121#!/compare/1483747200/1483833600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031341893#!/compare/1483833600/1483920000

X = 19

Sale 3:

Sold for 11 keys + ~1 key in metal + ~5 keys in taunts

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28767684 - Deleted B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037674114#!/compare/1486857600/1486944000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059983639#!/compare/1486857600/1486944000

X = 17

Sale 4:

Sold for Dead Presidents Slick Cut (Mini at 17 below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28746147 - No B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130579834#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024302996#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000

X = 17

Sale 5:

Sold for Aces High Teutonic Toque (Mini at 15.5 below)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084253260#!/compare/1483401600/1483488000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999059147#!/compare/1483228800/1483488000

X = 16

Sale 6:

Sold with >0.5 keys in metal/items for Stormy Vintage Merryweather

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28736191 - B/O of 15

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302774496#!/compare/1485302400/1485388800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130579834#!/compare/1485216000/1485388800

Should cap at the B/O pretty easily

X = 15 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 7:

Sold for 15 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28674289 - No visible B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073438708#!/compare/1483401600/1483488000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098546985#!/compare/1483228800/1483488000

X = 15

Sale 8:

Sold with 2 keys for Pro. KS Aussie Tomislav (16) + >0.5 keys in items

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031341893#!/compare/1484524800/1484611200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198321638970#!/compare/1484352000/1484524800

X = 15

Sale 9:

Sold for 14 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28671341 - No B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074304069#!/compare/1483747200/1483833600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065811373#!/compare/1481155200/1488499200

X = 14

Sale 10:

Sold for 13 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28725605 - B/O of 15

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126625786#!/compare/1484611200/1484697600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312480435#!/compare/1484611200/1484697600

X = 13

Sale 11:

Bulk for Purple Energy Toy Soldier

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028104641#!/compare/1484870400/1484956800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273100239#!/compare/1484956800/1485043200

Sale 12:

Sold for Starstorm Insomnia Bandito + cheap cosmetic

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273100239#!/compare/1485475200/1485820800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066413959#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000

Sale 13:

Sold with 3 keys for Planets Modest Metal Pile of Scrap

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198321638970#!/compare/1484956800/1485043200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302774496#!/compare/1484956800/1485043200

May be better to update the Scrap with this sale, it looks like it could use an update.

Sale 14:

Sold with +1 key in items for Insomnia Cranial

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068173164#!/compare/1485993600/1486080000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159855421#!/compare/1485993600/1486080000

Would be better to update the Cranial with this sale.

Sale 15:

Sold for Bubbling Large Luchadore

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28667933 - B/O of 25

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148111730#!/compare/1483056000/1483142400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112612121#!/compare/1483056000/1483142400

This’ll most likely end up in the range.

Sale 16: (Strange)

Sold for Duped Minimal Wear Energy Orb Carpet Bomber Stickybomb Launcher (Odd, I thought they stopped duping items when gun mettle was released)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28776607 - B/O of 48, lowered at some point

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018101085#!/compare/1488240000/1488326400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309057680#!/compare/1488240000/1488326400

This’ll probably end up being well over 25 keys at the least, which can’t be used to set a high-end, as it is a strange sale (and would end up looking like an outlier anyways).

Dead Presidents Slick Cut Mini:

Sold for Cloud 9 Buckaroo’s Hat (Mini at 17 below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28721610 - B/O of 18

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1484611200/1484697600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024302996#!/compare/1483833600/1484697600

http://imgur.com/a/COrCi

X = 17

Cloud 9 Buckaroo’s Mini:

Sold for 17 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28794560 - B/O of 18

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1487808000/1487894400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263882929#!/compare/1487894400/1488240000

http://imgur.com/a/wx1hG

X = 17

Aces High Teutonic Toque Mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58bff0f0c4404501ca6e901f

Sellers:

17 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/zpjHuJK.png - 1 day

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198312480435

http://i.imgur.com/72OjahB.jpg - 1 month

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198159855421

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28795513 - Listed for 16 here

18 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/zkV47Iq.png - 1 month

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198125791160

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28810484

http://i.imgur.com/BlSvIfz.png - 13 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198011321852

http://i.imgur.com/6V6i0Cr.png - 1 month

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198041822925

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28801885 - 1 week

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198066413959

20 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28747932 - 1 month

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198024302996

28 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/Q5uFjWM.png - 3 months

http://backpack.tf/u/76561197986206421

Buyer at 13 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/eN9L0oT.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198033370726

Sales at:

13

14

15 (3x)

16

17 (2x)

19

20

Despite the sale at 19 being sold for a Max’s, I’d still believe that it is an outlier. Multiple sellers in the 17-18 key range, most being unsold for a month. Excluding 19 and 20.

13 is countered by the buyer. Excluding 13.

Going with 14-17.