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time warp ballcap
sellers
none
sales
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012613726#!/compare/1486425600/1486512000 - sold for lantern doctor’s sack (16) + aces high elfin deal (13) + miami bomber’s bucket hat (40) + blizzardy yellow belt (26.5) + bubbling hwnn (23) + 5.4 keys worth of sweets = 124
minis
aces high elfin deal
http://imgur.com/a/d4BxQ - seller on SCM for $250.75. Keys @$19.13. Taking as 13 keys. No other sales.
lantern sack
https://gyazo.com/3e56ab74d5c67b4c4889b24a55ecbaf2 - selling for 16 keys; no other sales
miami bucket
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138591706#!/compare/1479600000/1480032000 - 4 month old sale, but no other sales. sold for a tesla bonk helm (40). this mini was in date when the sale for the ballcap happened. should be fine.
sale at 124. rounding to 125.
The buyer from this sale resold to scrap.tf; that makes it very likely that this sale is an outlier
probably mini for bucket hat is too high:
unsold at ~27 keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/30547;5;u61
edit: after qs to scrap he probably sold keys for cash. dont think that qs to scrap make sale outlier, but probably suggesting price is too high
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162797626#!/compare/1489968000/1490227200
Well if someone overpays like hell and then dumps it on scraptf then its usually an indication he considered the purchase a mistake for whatever reason; sales like that are rarely ever a good indication of a hat's value
Well he dumped it to scrap right after suggestion was created. He can just wait when suggestion got accepted and dump his unusual to scrap for more. I Dont think that he made mistake by huge overpaying, he wanted the hat, but then he needed money irl so he qsold it to scrap and sold keys for cash next day. Also gbh recently priced at 130, almost same effect, but it doesnt matter here.