Sale 1:

Sold for Purple Energy Rimmed Raincatcher (Mini at 30 below) + Vivid Plasma Ol' Geezer + Carlton (1) + minor refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28814604 - B/O of 45

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1489276800/1489363200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061302796#!/compare/1489104000/1489363200

http://imgur.com/a/nw6oa

Geezer has a buy at 15, and would have to be 13 or less to change the price here.

X = 45 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold with Max's (18.5 at the time) + Balloonibouncer (~1.5) for Purple Energy Industrial Festivizer (38)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150213104#!/compare/1487376000/1487462400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1487376000/1487462400

http://imgur.com/a/kqXbU

This'll be way too low.

Raincatcher Mini:

Sale 1:

Sold for Miami Nights Armoured Authority + 2 keys + Strange Pro. KS Loch n Load (2)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28836649 - B/O of 30

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1489795200/1489881600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098271502#!/compare/1489708800/1490054400

http://imgur.com/a/9USur

X = 30

Sale 2:

Sold for Dead Presidents Brown Bomber (22) + 13 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28829065 - B/O of 30

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1489363200/1489449600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063071791#!/compare/1489449600/1489708800

http://imgur.com/a/CfxOL

X = 30 (Capped by B/O)

Sellers:

43 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/nuy1GCp.png - 7 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198195731583

Sales at:

45

Seller at 43.

Going with 43-45.