Sale 1:

Sold for Peace Sign Fruit Shoot (Mini at 14 below) + Disco Beat Down Tin Topi (Mini at 12 below) + Molten Mallard Metal Slug + Pro. KS Degreaser (5) in a trade hold.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28819181 - B/O of 43

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129962341#!/compare/1488931200/1490486400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241082898#!/compare/1489017600/1490400000

Slug would have to be less than 12 keys for this to not cap.

X = 43 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold for Purple Confetti Towering Pillar of Hats (Mini at 22 below) + 19 keys + 0.44 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28757954 - B/O of 40

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067397074#!/compare/1487548800/1487635200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059701576#!/compare/1487289600/1487635200

X = 40 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 3:

Sold for Purple Energy Bird Cage (Mini at 40 below)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079578383#!/compare/1485648000/1485734400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019556015#!/compare/1485648000/1485734400

X = 40

Sale 4:

Sold with 2 keys for Stormy Storm Fed-Fightin’ Fedora (19) + Blizzardy Storm Backwards Ballcap (Mini at 22 below)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066195760#!/compare/1488067200/1488153600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185387026#!/compare/1488067200/1488153600

X = 39

Sale 5:

Sold for Scorching Flames Sober Stuntman (Mini at 39 below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28737170 - B/O of 44

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057370159#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063233185#!/compare/1485561600/1485648000

X = 39

Sale 6:

Sold for $78 on Markeplace.tf

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28741414 - B/O of 40

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121083428#!/compare/1486771200/1486857600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190078474#!/compare/1486684800/1486771200

https://marketplace.tf/items/109;5;u9/Green%20Energy%20Professional's%20Panama

Can’t tell how to view key sales older than a month on marketplace, so I can’t find how much keys were on the day of the sales. Going with the current price for keys on marketplace.tf ($2.05)

78/2.05 = 38

X = 38

Sale 7:

Sold for Vivid Plasma Trophy Belt

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28749155 - No B/O listed

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063233185#!/compare/1485648000/1485734400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079578383#!/compare/1485648000/1485734400

Couldn’t get a mini on the Belt

Sale 8:

Sold for Kill-a-Watt Anger + Terror-Watt Master’s Yellow Belt

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019556015#!/compare/1486598400/1486684800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074503576#!/compare/1486684800/1488931200

Without a B/O cap, this sale will be a massive outlier.

Sale 9:

Sold for Terror-Watt Master’s Yellow Belt

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074503576#!/compare/1484524800/1484784000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057370159#!/compare/1484265600/1484524800

Looks pretty low, probably should be used on the belt instead

Sale 10:

Bulk for Bonzo Skid Lid

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185387026#!/compare/1488153600/1488240000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082642255#!/compare/1488067200/1488240000

Sale 11:

Bulk

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082642255#!/compare/1488412800/1488499200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129962341#!/compare/1488412800/1488499200

Blizzardy Storm Backwards Ballcap:

Sold for 22 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1489795200/1489881600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066071527#!/compare/1489708800/1489881600

X = 22

Purple Energy Bird Cage Mini:

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Desert Marauder + 24 keys + Bill’s (2)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28751064 - B/O of 40

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1486512000/1486598400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043028890#!/compare/1486252800/1486598400

Marauder would have to be less than 14 for this sale’s value to change. This should easily cap at the B/O.

X = 40 (capped by B/O)

Also, I’d like to point out that the mini I made in this suggestion got scrambled:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58aafca00e2cad0e89182bdf

Under the “Purple Energy Bird Cage Mini” part, the mini is missing proof of the sale. The rest of the proof can be found under the “Dead Presidents Outta Sight Mini” part.

Purple Confetti Towering Pillar of Hats:

Sold for 22 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108148076#!/compare/1487376000/1487548800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120703712#!/compare/1487116800/1489104000

X = 22

Scorching Sober Stuntman Mini:

Sold for Spec. KS Grenade Launcher (15) + Purple Energy Tippler’s Tricorne (30.5) + Strange Pro. KS Escape Plan (3)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28762482 - B/O of 39

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297529937#!/compare/1486512000/1486598400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196131666#!/compare/1486512000/1486944000

X = 39 (Capped by B/O)

Circling Peace Sign Fruit Shoot:

Sold for 14 keys (buyer’s backpack)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28791812 - No visible B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053252981#!/compare/1488758400/1488844800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063017465#!/compare/1488844800/1489104000

X = 14

Sellers:

60 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/Wr2r0R9.png - 6 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198241082898

Sales at:

38

39 (2x)

40 (2x)

43

Going with 38-43.