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Resuggesting; found more sales. Would appreciate input on the range, given the sales at 24 and 25.
Sale 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141598965#!/compare/1490918400/1491004800
Bought for GE Handyman's (21-24, in-date) + Stormy Mongolian (11, 2 years ago)
Mongolian mini:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28820440
Unsold at 10 for 3 weeks, buyers at 8.5
Taking 10
X = 22.5 + 10 = 32.5
Seller had B/O of 30: http://tinypic.com/r/voqxyq/9
[Taking 30]
Sale 2:
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114097422#!/compare/1489622400/1489795200
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074181476#!/compare/1489708800/1489795200
Little messy, but appears to have sold for Bubbling Capotain (9 keys, 2 years old) + 20 keys + spec sk gold botkiller scattergun (2 ish)
Capotain mini: buyers and sellers indicate 9 is still a good price: http://tinypic.com/r/2gv7wrd/9
Taking 9
X = 9 + 20 + 2 = 31
B/O of 32
[Taking 31]
Sale 3:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114097422#!/compare/1489104000/1489190400
Bought for 24 pure
Previous owner had it for a day or less. No outpost listing. QS?
[Taking 24]
Sale 4:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078685690#!/compare/1490572800/1490659200
Bought for 21 keys + 2 black paint + 2 white paint
X = 21 + (0.9 *2) + (0.93 *2) = 24.66
[Taking 25]
Sales of 24, 25, 30, 31.
Multiple quickbuyers at 23-24 refute the low end. Excluding 24 and 25 sales seems ok.
Unsold at 34 keys for 7 months supports drop. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28427934
Final range: 30-31.
What a nice suggestion. Nice job, man!
New sale here - https://marketplace.tf/items/30336;5;u90/Orbiting%20Fire%20Trencher's%20Topper - at 29 pure supports