Sale 1:

Sold for Max’s (18) + Cloud 9 Rimmed Raincatcher (Mini at 17 below) + ~6 keys in items + 9 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28821450 - No visible B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120347528#!/compare/1490313600/1490400000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056232659#!/compare/1490313600/1490400000

X = 50

Sale 2:

Sold for Ooze Scotch Bonnet + Ooze Trencher’s Topper

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28729790 - B/O of 42, re-listed to http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28759487 - deleted B/O here

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1486339200/1486425600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127309887#!/compare/1486425600/1486598400

Easily caps at the B/O.

X = 42 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 3:

Sold for 40 keys

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095051492#!/compare/1484092800/1484352000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128887284#!/compare/1484265600/1484352000

X = 40

Sale 4:

Sold for 34 keys to a buy order

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127309887#!/compare/1489363200/1489449600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164651434#!/compare/1489363200/1489449600

X = 34

Sale 5:

Bulk for Nebula Captain Spaceman

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993258470#!/compare/1488931200/1489017600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120347528#!/compare/1488672000/1489017600

Sale 6:

Sold for Sunbeams Sober Stuntman

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056232659#!/compare/1490313600/1490400000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1490227200/1490400000

Probably better to update the Beams Stuntman with this sale.

Cloud 9 Rimmed Raincatcher Mini:

Sold for 17 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28798003 - B/O of 17

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1488672000/1488758400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065613267#!/compare/1488067200/1488758400

http://imgur.com/a/a5kB4

X = 17

Sellers:

46 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/1uacGi0.png - 10 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561197982127154

48 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/BVwQmq3.png - 22 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198164651434

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28837727

Sales at:

34

40

42

50

34 sold to a buy order, and there are now buyers for higher. Excluding 34.

50 is probably too high, given the current sellers. Beams Sober sale supports the price of ~40 also.

Going with 40-42.