Sale 1:

Sold for Burning Sober Stuntman (Mini at 41 below) + Miami Nights Halogen Mirror

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28683099 - B/O of 50, was re-listed afterwards, with a deleted B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1484352000/1484438400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128887284#!/compare/1484352000/1484438400

Mirror would have to be less than 9 for the sale’s value to change.

X = 50 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold for Kill-a-Watt Brown Bomber (49) + Stormy Swagman’s Swatter + <0.5 keys in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28733061 - B/O of 50

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1485302400/1485388800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174361109#!/compare/1485302400/1485388800

X = 50 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 3:

Sold for Terror-Watt Chieftain’s Challenge (23) + Stormy Peacenik’s Ponytail (25.5) + 1 key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28850390 - B/O of 45

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083894166#!/compare/1490832000/1491004800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018653729#!/compare/1490918400/1491004800

X = 45 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 4:

Sold for Orbiting Fire Flipped Trilby (16) + Blizzardy Storm Copper’s Hard Topper (10.5) + Bubbling Hard Counter + 8 keys + ~1 key in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28780798 - B/O of 44

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1487030400/1487116800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993108035#!/compare/1487030400/1487116800

Should cap at the B/O.

X = 44 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 5:

Sold for Amaranthine Bonk Leadwear (30) + 13 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28775976 - B/O of 45

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092173139#!/compare/1487030400/1487203200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1486944000/1487289600

X = 43

Sale 6:

Sold for 40 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28671234 - B/O of 45

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129564285#!/compare/1486771200/1487462400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021013907#!/compare/1487289600/1487376000

X = 40

Sale 7:

Sold for 38 keys + <0.5 keys in items in ~5 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28727563 - No Outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152813004#!/compare/1484956800/1485043200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156092540#!/compare/1484956800/1485043200

X = 38

Sale 8:

Sold for 35 keys, most likely to a buy order

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28820237 - B/O of 45

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267119584#!/compare/1489449600/1489536000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1489449600/1489536000

X = 35

Sale 9:

Sold for 34 keys + 10 ref

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128887284#!/compare/1484438400/1484611200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152813004#!/compare/1484524800/1484611200

X = 34

Sale 10:

Sold for 34 keys + 4 ref to Rubi’s buy order

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198243850434#!/compare/1488672000/1489363200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1489276800/1489363200

X = 34

Sale 11:

Sold for Green Energy Otolaryngologist’s Mirror + Bubbling Cold Killer + Pro. KS Aussie Blutsauger

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28657553 - No visible B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061376237#!/compare/1484179200/1484265600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334443004#!/compare/1484179200/1484265600

This’ll easily be an outlier without a B/O cap.

Sale 12:

Sold for Anti-Freeze Respectless Robo Glove

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1487548800/1488067200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202369941#!/compare/1487980800/1488067200

Glove is quite outdated, might be better to update it with this sale instead

Sale 13:

Sold for Smoking Ninja Hood

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162230067#!/compare/1488844800/1488931200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267119584#!/compare/1488844800/1488931200

Probably better to use on the hood instead

Sale 14:

Sold for ~65 keys in items

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202369941#!/compare/1488153600/1488240000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173404791#!/compare/1488153600/1488240000

Will be another outlier without a B/O.

Burning Sober Stuntman Mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58e4dae30e2cad132602a872

Sellers:

44 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/PYLbCfC.png - 4 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198018653729

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28854880

45 keys:

http://i.imgur.com/J60S1rU.png - 30 days

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198248326208

http://i.imgur.com/YIlPNqK.png

http://backpack.tf/u/76561198086070401

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28808455 - 1 month

Sales at:

34 (2x)

35

38

40

43

44

45

50 (2x)

34 quicksold twice, 35 most likely went to a buy order. Excluding 35 and below.

Rounding 38 to 40, sold in 5 days, so it wouldn’t be too bad of an idea to shorten the range there.

Going with 40-50.