Small drop.

2 recent traceable sales.

Sale 1:

Sold for a Green Black Hole Tough Stuff Muffs(250 keys)

Proof: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136180916#!/compare/1490572800/1490832000

Capping at 230 key buyout: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28760887

= 230

Sale 2:

Sold with ~10 keys in sweets for a Purple Energy Hat With No Name(270)

Proof: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136180916#!/compare/1490832000/1490918400

Capping at 230 key buyout: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28851158

= 230

Minis:

HWNN - 2 recent sales

Sale 1(bulk): https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127164669#!/compare/1491004800/1491091200

Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195731583#!/compare/1491264000/1491350400

Sold for a Duped Cloudy Moon Modest Pile Of Hats(220) + Aces High Tough Stuff Muffs(31.5) + Steaming El Jefe(20.5) + ~2 keys in sweets

Confirmed with Hanni: http://imgur.com/a/29yOm

Credits to Hanni for helping me with some necessary proof.

= 274

Going with 230 flat.

More proof/counter proof/feedback/constructive criticism is always appreciated