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Sale 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147142110#!/compare/1486512000/1486598400
Sold with a Cloud 9 Respectless Rubber Glove (~20) + 17 keys for a Burning Flames Gauzed Gaze (230)
= 193
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28726427 - B/O 160
Sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147142110#!/compare/1486598400/1486684800
Sold for a Purple Energy Sheriff's Stetson (90) + Disco Beat Down Slo-Poke (53)
= 143
Rounding to 145
Seller @ 120:
160
Sales
160
143 - Rounding to 145 due.
145 - 160
Another sale:
Sold for a Steaming Hong Kong Cone(~47 Keys) an Arcana Counterfeit Billycock(~54 Keys), Catastrophic Companions(25 Keys) and a Max's Severed Head(19 Keys)(~145 Keys total)(B/O was 120)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1493424000/1493510400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28858380
I'd look into minis for both the HKC and Counterfeit just as some form of precaution, but I think it'll still safely cap at 120. 120-160 should be fine here.