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Eep.
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28796061
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195483499#!/compare/1489190400/1489276800
Sold for Bubbling Baker Boy (in-date at 14.5 but https://gyazo.com/4ef0271b941854395233c4477531698c selling for ~13) + 4 keys
= 17
Messy bunch of sales coming up. Histories suggest
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150783829#!/compare/1486080000/1486166400
Sold it for 22 pure + engies killed part (=23) and then
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068674577#!/compare/1483142400/1486252800
Resold + sweets (~2) for Searing Plasma Napper (Outdated at 26, mini at 22) =20
Napper mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278127505#!/compare/1486944000/1487030400
Blizz Grenadier (Outdated at 21, https://gyazo.com/7ba4e51612da9852e8613e35db523f36 young seller at 18) + 4 keys
= 22, using 22.
No sale is the outlier here so taking a wide-ish range.
Let it ride.
Should probably just value the baker at its in-date value. An unbumped 1 day old seller at 12 that says he has a buyer at 13 is a very weak mini which is easily avoided since it is totally not needed here :P
I valued it at 13 though
but not at 14.5 at which it is priced :P