Suggestion: Time Warp Chieftain's Challenge at 80 keys

Price Suggestion

~530 keys

61 votes up

4 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Fri, 28 Apr 17 16:16:33 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Update.

Sale 1: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116795203#!/compare/1489968000/1490054400 - 90 keys

Sellers: http://i.imgur.com/43qJncZ.png / http://i.imgur.com/cvfx7qn.png

Sale 2: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116795203#!/compare/1490313600/1490486400 - 135 keys

Sale 3: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081991649#!/compare/1489104000/1489190400 - Use on Beak.

Sale 4: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068732040#!/compare/1489276800/1489363200 - 77 keys

Mini for Professor: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142501902#!/compare/1490140800/1490918400 - 18 keys

Unsold at 80 for a month: http://i.imgur.com/DG54gvm.png. Refresh.

any reason why 77 is an outlier?

Best to go 80 flat, 2 sales at 90 and 135, the only reason the range isnt 80-135, is because of the unsold.

i understand why 90 and 135 are outliers due to the month old seller at 80 but there is no reason why 77 would be an outlier in this situation

There are 2 sales way higher than 77, which makes 77 an outlier, those 2 higher sales are capped by the unsold at 80, just like that a refresh is done.

doesn't make sense for the higher sales to make 77 an outlier when the higher sales are outliers themselves due to the seller. this suggestion is literally based on a seller in that case

So 90 and 135 are outliers and 77 isnt, since of the unsold? It makes a lil bit of sense, but taking the fact that 2 sales were higher than 77, its 2 vs 1, which would ALWAYS make the 1 an outlier. Simply seems weird to go through the trouble of resuggesting with a range of 77-80, when 77 should simply be an outlier. But then again, your point is, if 80 cant sell, 77 isnt an outlier, i guess... 80 isnt an outlier since of the 2 higher sales... oh well, 77-80 it is then, i guess?

imo 77-80 would make more sense here

I guess just in case, i can notify Foamy, if online.

Yeah, this doesn't make a lot of sense here. If it can't sell in a month at 80, why is 77 an outlier? 80 shouldn't even be in the range. Two high end sales are clearly outliers which means they shouldn't even be factored into the price at all.

Well, the thing that confused me was, how can 2 outliers even happen?

eh with that many sales above 80 I dont mind 80 being in the range. if 80 would sell any soon I would not even be opposed to having 90 in the range as well. I dont like the idea of discarding 75% of the sales based on a single datapoint unless its a 3month+ unsold

Well, it should be a range of 77-80 then afterall?

I would personally just wait here. 77 should definitely not be an outlier - that's for sure - but Id like to see what 80 does before deciding a range on this thing

Oh, i see. Will do!

My opinion on this is that 135 is an outlier and 90 is an overpay in unusuals. Pure value is 77

Well, i guess the unsold completely counters and makes the absolute current price, which this hat goes for at 77 flat?