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Stormy Storm Bomb Beanie
New price: 13-17 keys
[proof below]
SALE #1 = 17 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350054215#!/compare/1487289600/1487376000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099074102#!/compare/1487289600/1487376000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28776690 - B/O 17 keys
Sold along 1 key in sweets for a Stormy Storm Your Worst Nightmare (outdated at 24). With the Stormy Storm Your Worst Nightmare having quickbuyers at 17 keys, this should cap at B/O easily.
SALE #2 = 13 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100337984#!/compare/1489622400/1489795200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28780642 - B/O 13 keys
Sold for a Starstorm Slumber Cranial Carcharodon (14) -> capping at B/O
Mini for the Starstorm Slumber Cranial Carcharodon = 14 keys
http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Cranial%20Carcharodon/Tradable/Craftable/110
Multiple sellers at 13-16, seller at 13 is rather young so I’ll value this at 14 keys here.
http://backpack.tf/item/5377687784
Sold and bought off scrap.tf 3 times in the last 2 months. Supports a price drop.
SUMMARY
Sales: 13 / 17 (+multiple scrap.tf sales around 13 (buy) and 16-17 (sell) keys)
Sellers: 19 keys (1 month)
With the 19 key unsold at 1 month, 2 valid sales at 13-17 keys and multiple trades with scrap.tf it’s safe to say that this thing is not worth it’s current displayed value. Going with 13-17 keys.