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Team 2: Happysedits, Wokath, Andro, Vittoo, MCBros
Effect: ‘72
Item: '72 Taunt: Conga
Sale 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106189896#!/compare/1491091200/1491696000
Time Warp Backbiter's Billycock (45) + Cloud 9 Allbrero (38) + Burning Flames Letch's LED (67) + Haunted Ghosts Honcho's Headgear (52)
200
Burning Flames Letch's LED mini:
Seller for 67 for a week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28890964
Haunted Ghosts Honcho's Headgear mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198298210084#!/compare/1489795200/1489881600
Circling Heart Toy Soldier(52)
Sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208062409#!/compare/1493251200/1493337600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011061869#!/compare/1493251200/1493337600
Sold for Haunted Ghosts Horrific Headsplitter(210)
Haunted Ghosts Horrific Headsplitter mini:
seller 240 outpost
current price 210
since there’s no valid sale, using the old 210 price
2 months unsold at 300 keys: http://imgur.com/4XGFbTB
1 month unsold at 250 keys: http://imgur.com/a/x0gA8
You can't use the headsplitter sale without a mini. That has a year old price. You can use this to update that after the event, maybe.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28760019 - long standing b/o at 240 here
I think your range is close enough here. Probably best at 200 flat though