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Another refresh.
Sale 1: Added Strange Bird-Man of Aberdeen (1 key) for Steaming Vintage Tyrolean (17 keys) = 16 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053747026#!/compare/1491523200/1491609600
Sale 2: Sold for Starstorm Insomnia Cranial Carcharodon (14 keys) + sweets (around 7 keys) = High outlier, not using
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155131758#!/compare/1491523200/1491609600
Sale 3: Not sure what happened here, can´t trace the item histories, not using either
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069118738#!/compare/1491609600/1491696000
Only recent sales I could, going with 16 keys flat.
For this sale: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155131758#!/compare/1491523200/1491609600 , it doesn't look like the RL was involved. I believe this is closer to 1 key in sweets. This should be 15 if I'm correct.
Also:
-Sold for 12 keys: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095648814#!/compare/1486771200/1487030400
-Quicksold for 11 pure (can be supportive for low end I guess): http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034002413#!/compare/1486857600/1486944000
-Sold for 12 pure: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198325294399#!/compare/1487116800/1487289600
I think a resugg is in order here. 12-16 should do.
EDIT: Rubi counters 12: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28850674 This should be close enough.