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Team 3
Sale #1
http://backpack.tf/item/5267963712
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005032783#!/compare/1488585600/1488672000
Sold for 45 pure keys
Sale #2
http://backpack.tf/item/5237715821
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1488412800/1488499200
Sold with 9 keys for Sunbeams Nanobalaclava(44, lowest seller) =35
Sale #3
http://backpack.tf/item/4041498827
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086450579#!/compare/0/1491696000
Sold for 10 keys(Low outlier)
Other sales are in bulk and not clear from compare.
Sale:
10/35/45
Sellers:
50(9 days and 3 months)
Rolling with 35-45
http://imgur.com/a/bLXOd - Mature seller @40 for 25 days shows that 35 likely isn't too low here. Full pure sale @45 shouldn't be omitted either though with just one seller countering.
This is a reasonable starting point.