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EVENT MINI.
Being used for Hearts Salty Dog.
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198268479720#!/compare/1490140800/1490486400
1:1 with a Nebula Phononaut(230).
230 total.
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198268479720#!/compare/1492300800/1492387200
Quicksold for 200 keys pure.
Excluding.
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120347528#!/compare/1492646400/1492732800
Bulk.
Unusable.
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099406882#!/compare/1488240000/1488585600
Sold for a Frostbite Modest(180), Amaranthine Panama(50), Searing Modest(49), PE Phantom(~100, no minis for clean), P. Fetti Tavish(~20), and a Beams Beret(~48).
447 total rounding to 450.
Super high outlier.
Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1486512000/1486598400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119013032#!/compare/1486512000/1486598400
1:1 with a Burning Kiss King.
Was used for the Kiss King.
Sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079530721#!/compare/1492560000/1492905600
Sold for a Burning Luchadore(200), Scorching Soviet(110), an Unusual Minigun(62), and ~7 keys sweets.
379 total rounding to 380.
Sale 7:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055617854#!/compare/1490918400/1491004800
Sold for a Nebula UT(250), a Frostbite Samur-Eye(>25), and 15 keys pure.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28874354
Buyer relisted it for sale at 290.
I'll cap this at 290.
Sale 8:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012628819#!/compare/1489104000/1489190400
Bulk for a Pan.
Unusable.
Sale 9:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135093403#!/compare/1491350400/1492041600
Untrace/cash.
Unusable.
Sellers:
http://imgur.com/a/KGZ5F
1x 1 week unsold at 270.
1x 6 day unsold at 270. (Duped)
1x 17 day unsold at 310. (Duped)
1x Seller at 320.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28878995
1x 2 week unsold at 320.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28880723
1x 2 week unsold at 500.
Unusual Minigun mini:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212256084#!/compare/1484784000/1484956800
https://backpack.tf/item/3951732584
Sold for a Pro. KS Aussie Minigun(27) and 35 keys pure.
62 total.
Sale is too old to make an actual suggestion on but young enough for a mini.
Calling it 62.
I think there's enough reason here to cap the low end at 290 but I think the week unsold at 270 is still a bit low. The high outlier proves it can still fetch a good bit in Unusuals and the low outlier supports the lower value.
Rolling with 290-380.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053747026#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800 - another sale here at 215
So that's sales at 200, 215, 230, 290, 302 (kiss king if we ignore the modest sale), 380, 450. The seller at 270 never sold. Other b/os at 300 and 320 currently for clean ones. Honestly, I think 290-302 is most appropriate here, but since it's better to avoid the kiss king, I guess the more conservative range will have to work.