Price Suggestion
~190 keys
burning
Unusual Modest Pile of Hat Burning Flames
68 votes up
4 votes down
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EVENT MINI.

Being used for Hearts Salty Dog.


Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198268479720#!/compare/1490140800/1490486400

1:1 with a Nebula Phononaut(230).

230 total.


Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198268479720#!/compare/1492300800/1492387200

Quicksold for 200 keys pure.

Excluding.


Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120347528#!/compare/1492646400/1492732800

Bulk.

Unusable.


Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099406882#!/compare/1488240000/1488585600

Sold for a Frostbite Modest(180), Amaranthine Panama(50), Searing Modest(49), PE Phantom(~100, no minis for clean), P. Fetti Tavish(~20), and a Beams Beret(~48).

447 total rounding to 450.

Super high outlier.


Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1486512000/1486598400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119013032#!/compare/1486512000/1486598400

1:1 with a Burning Kiss King.

Was used for the Kiss King.


Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079530721#!/compare/1492560000/1492905600

Sold for a Burning Luchadore(200), Scorching Soviet(110), an Unusual Minigun(62), and ~7 keys sweets.

379 total rounding to 380.


Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055617854#!/compare/1490918400/1491004800

Sold for a Nebula UT(250), a Frostbite Samur-Eye(>25), and 15 keys pure.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28874354

Buyer relisted it for sale at 290.


I'll cap this at 290.


Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012628819#!/compare/1489104000/1489190400

Bulk for a Pan.

Unusable.


Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135093403#!/compare/1491350400/1492041600

Untrace/cash.

Unusable.


Sellers:

http://imgur.com/a/KGZ5F

1x 1 week unsold at 270.

1x 6 day unsold at 270. (Duped)

1x 17 day unsold at 310. (Duped)

1x Seller at 320.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28878995

1x 2 week unsold at 320.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28880723

1x 2 week unsold at 500.


Unusual Minigun mini:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212256084#!/compare/1484784000/1484956800

https://backpack.tf/item/3951732584

Sold for a Pro. KS Aussie Minigun(27) and 35 keys pure.

62 total.


Sale is too old to make an actual suggestion on but young enough for a mini.

Calling it 62.


I think there's enough reason here to cap the low end at 290 but I think the week unsold at 270 is still a bit low. The high outlier proves it can still fetch a good bit in Unusuals and the low outlier supports the lower value.

Rolling with 290-380.

    http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053747026#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800 - another sale here at 215


    So that's sales at 200, 215, 230, 290, 302 (kiss king if we ignore the modest sale), 380, 450. The seller at 270 never sold. Other b/os at 300 and 320 currently for clean ones. Honestly, I think 290-302 is most appropriate here, but since it's better to avoid the kiss king, I guess the more conservative range will have to work.