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Take 3
This hat begs for a drop. 3x unsold on classified for 1-4 months. http://i.imgur.com/tDXqVSj.png
Sale 1: Sold for Sunbeams Metal Slug (43.5; in-date)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069198816#!/compare/1486598400/1486684800
Sale 2: Sold for Hellish Inferno Taunt: Flippin' Awesome (47.5; in-date). 3 keys were added in sweets --> 44.5. Thanks to Erik for spotting the sweets!
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115478183#!/compare/1485475200/1485561600
Sale 3: Sold together with 2 keys in items for Frostbite Ye Olde Baker Boy (60) --> 58
Mini Baker Boy: 60 keys pure
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150448587#!/compare/1492300800/1492473600
Sale 4: Sold together with 2 keys for Steaming Winter Woodsman
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123288580#!/compare/1493510400/1493596800
http://i.imgur.com/kcwrcUs.png
This sale should be used to update the outdated Winter woodsman!
--> 3 Sales at 43.5; 44.5 & 58. Calling 58 an outlier which is backed by the three unsolds.
Suggesting 44-45
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198240046822#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800 - Sold for O. Fire KE, ~49
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170878742#!/compare/1495497600/1495670400 - Sold for CV Bombing, ~46
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120384533#!/compare/1495238400/1495324800 - Possibly usable for Scopers?
The sales you're using here are all outdated now, and while that isn't your fault, it would be best to exclude them in your re-suggestion. A 2 month old taunt price isn't very reliable anyway, and the Airdog/Slug sale was actually used for the Slug, so it shouldn't have been used here in the first place. Already mentioned the possible problem with the Woodsman sale in your Woodsman suggestion.
46-49, barring any additional sales. Will be watching the relatively young seller for 50, but 2 month old seller for 56 supports the drop.
Ok thanks as always Marty. Will resugrgst at 46-49