Suggestion: Steaming Winter Woodsman at 34–43 keys

Price Suggestion

~18.5 keys

steaming

99 votes up

16 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was closed Thu, 25 May 17 15:34:09 +0000 by the submitter.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

Sale 1: Sold together 2 keys for a Green Energy Airdog (44.5) = 42.5 --> rounding to 43

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123288580#!/compare/1493510400/1493596800

Mini Airdog: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/590749960e2cad6a3e073fb3

Sale 2: Bulk

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192740165#!/compare/1485216000/1485302400

Sale 3: Sold for Starstorm Insomnia Dark Falkirk Helm (34 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278442002#!/compare/1491091200/1491609600

Mini for Dark Helm: 34 keys pure

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1490745600/1490832000 (credits to Marty Birdman)

Scrap.tf is now selling this hat for 37 keys in case that matters (I was told on discord it doesn't matter) http://imgur.com/a/UaYlx

Suggesting Range from 34-43 as was proposed in my previous suggestion for the Steaming Winter Woodsman. Also thanks to everyone who helper in my previous suggestions for this hat!

Your Falkirk mini is a quicksell.

A better Falkirk mini:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154334102#!/compare/1491091200/1491177600 1:1 w/ CHeart Napper's

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28852614 - B/O was 37

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/59095f26c440454ce07d23f9 - Napper's mini (credits to Xergoyf)

You can tighten your range with this, although how scrap.tf does with this hat may still influence the validity your suggestion. Gl either way.

Hmmm. How do you know it was a quicksell?

It sold for full pure well below its current stated price and the timestamps in its history show that this only took a few hours. I said before that I think the Falkirk needs the drop as much as the Woodsman, but I also think the second sale I provided is more likely to be reflective of its current value.

Well, if I only use sale #1 then the Woodsman would be priced 43 keys which I think is too high because scrap.tf sells it for 37 so that's a dilemma. If we price the Falkirk off the Woodsman then that doesn't help if the Woodsman remains overpriced.. I hope my point makes sense?

Well, scrap.tf is trying to sell below market value in order to ensure that they can make an easy profit. They don't always succeed of course. That's part of why I think the second mini I gave you could work. If they struggle to sell for 37, hey, your low-end was already 37 because of the B/O cap, how fitting. However, if they effortlessly sell for 37, I think it also invalidates your concern than 43 flat would be too high. Either way, watching to see how they do seems like the right call for now.

Ok so I could use your mini that you gave me at 37 keys and make a suggestion from 37-43. That way if scrap.tf sells at 37 then their sale is in our range. What do you think? BTW also thanks so much for your help =)

If they sell right away your range would still be invalid though. You can re-suggest now or you can wait and see about scrap.tf, it's your call. Either way you're going to need to keep an eye on them.

New sale here:

Sold for Starstorm Insomnia Dark Falkirk Helm (33.5 keys; freshly priced).

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278442002#!/compare/1491091200/1491609600

Honestly, I think this range could be too large and should be lower. Thoughts?

Fully fixing the Falkirk and then using that on this? That works too, I was hoping for a Falkirk update either way.

Just looked over your Airdog suggestion, which set the high end here, and it's a bit low. I also think more than just 2 keys were added in the Woodsman/Airdog trade judging by the compare, but without matching histories it's hard to say for certain. I think without full confirmation of that trade, it's an outlier on both suggestions, and if everything were added it would more or less support the drop anyway.

Another Woodsman sale - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278442002#!/compare/1487980800/1488412800 - 35 pure (1 key wasn't involved)

Could go 34-35 here, using both sales and the now long-standing unsold on Scrapprehensive to support the drop. I'll comment with corrections on the Airdog as well in a minute.